Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Total Bet 5/3/23

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, May 3rd, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Braves -138/Marlins +118 (Baseball betting odds are cheaper at BetAnySports!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Braves on Wednesday, May 3rd at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Braves vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 20-10 SU / OU 17-12 / Runline 15-15
Miami Marlins: 16-14 SU / OU 12-16 / Runline 12-18

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 20-10. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Atlanta is 7-7 and 13-3 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 7-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.6
• The Braves have been favored in 86.7% of their games and have runline records of 4-10 and 11-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 59% of the Braves’ 30 games at 17-12.

The Marlins head into today’s game vs. the Braves with an overall record of 16-14. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 6-7 and 10-7, respectively. Miami’s overall series record sits at 6-3.

• The Marlins have covered the runline in 40.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.4
• The Marlins have been favored in 36.7% of their games and have runline records of 6-11 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 12-16.

Pitching Matchup

With an overall record of 0-1, the Braves will give Kyle Wright the start. His ERA stands at 4.86 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.89 and an OBP of .354.

Pitching only three innings and giving up zero runs in his last outing, Kyle Wright did factor into the decision. The Braves ultimately fell to the Marlins by a score of 5-4.

Braxton Garrett has an overall record of 1-0, and will get the start for the Marlins. With five appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.46, while his K/9 figure is 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.80 and an OBP of .312.

After tossing three innings and giving up zero runs on one hit in his previous game, Braxton Garrett will be looking for a better outing today. With the short outing, Garrett did not receive a decision in the team’s 5-4 win over the Braves.

Braves vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

The Braves come into the game ranked 7th in the league on an average of 5.2 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Atlanta is 4th, having hit the ball out of the park 46 times. Their overall batting average stands at .254. On the road, they are hitting .254 while .244 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters On The Road

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Offensively, the Marlins, come into the game ranked 29th in the league with an average of 3.3 runs per game. In the home run category, Miami is ranked 24th, with 26 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .246. This mark includes hitting .235 on the road and .247 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

These two teams opened the season series with a string of four consecutive Overs during a four-game set in Atlanta. However, I’m bucking this trend because of factors such as inexperienced starting pitchers having off days and lackluster performances from both bullpens.

In tonight’s matchup, we have two starting pitchers who previously squared off on April 27th, delivering solid performances across three innings before being interrupted by a lengthy rain delay. Miami’s starter, Braxton Garrett, was sharp, allowing no runs on a single hit and striking out three batters. Similarly, Kyle Wright of the opposing team pitched three scoreless innings, conceding two hits while striking out six batters and walking one.

A closer look at their historical records reveals impressive numbers for both pitchers. Kyle Wright has effectively limited the opposing team’s roster to a meager .117 batting average across 60 at-bats. Braxton Garrett, despite grappling with control issues during an October start that raised his OBP to .357 against the current Braves’ lineup, has managed to hold them to a .206 batting average over 34 at-bats without conceding a single extra-base hit.

Given the strong performances and solid historical records of both starting pitchers, I recommend taking the Under 8 for tonight’s game. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 in free bets at the bookie with the BEST live wagering platform on the web! —> Bovada Sportsbook!