Baltimore Orioles vs. LA Angels MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

by | Last updated Mar 28, 2024 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Thursday, March 28th, 3:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: BSW
Money Line: Angels +159/Orioles -192
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Angels on Thursday, March 28th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAA +159 +1.5 O 7.5 (-111)
BAL -192 -1.5 U 7.5 (-110)

Today at 3:05 PM, the Los Angeles Angels will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. This game will be televised on BSW.

Patrick Sandoval will be on the mound for the Angels, while Corbin Burnes will be pitching for the Orioles. The over/under line is currently set at 7.5 runs.

Angels vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Nolan Schanuel 1 1B
Mike Trout 2 CF
Anthony Rendon 3 3B
Taylor Ward 4 LF
Miguel Sanó 5 DH
Brandon Drury 6 2B
Logan O’Hoppe 7 C
Mickey Moniak 8 RF
Zach Neto 9 SS
Patrick Sandoval SP
Batting Order Position
Adley Rutschman 1 DH
Ryan Mountcastle 2 1B
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Austin Hays 4 LF
Gunnar Henderson 5 SS
Jordan Westburg 6 2B
Cedric Mullins 7 CF
James McCann 8 C
Ramón Urías 9 3B
Corbin Burnes SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Angels: 73-89 SU / OU 84-74 / Runline 75-87
Baltimore Orioles: 101-61 SU / OU 81-72 / Runline 96-66

Angels Records

The Angels will be looking to improve on their 73-89 record from last season, which left them out of the playoffs. In the American League, they finished in 12th place and 4th in the AL-West. Their series record was 19-30-2.

At home, the Angels went 38-43 last season compared to 35-46 on the road. In the AL-West, their division record was 22-30. As the underdog, the Angels went 35-52 last season.

When looking at the Los Angeles Angels’ run line record from last season, they finished with a mark of 75-87. This included going 35-46 at home and 40-41 on the road vs. the run line. Overall, they were the underdog in 53.7% of their games, going 47-40 in those matchups. In games they won, their average scoring margin was +3.1 runs per game, compared to -3.6 runs per game in losses. On the road, their average scoring margin was -.5 runs per game.

When looking at the Angels’ over/under record from last season, they finished with an O/U record of 84-74. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.8 runs, and 88.3% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Overall, their games averaged a combined 9.7 runs per game, and last season, 64.2% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Orioles Records

The Orioles are coming off a season in which they went 101-61, which was good for first place in both the American League and the AL East. However, they were swept in the ALDS by the Rangers. Today, Baltimore is the favorite on the moneyline at -192.

Last season, the Orioles went 55-27 when favored and 46-34 as the underdog. At home, they were 36-20 as the favorite and 13-12 as the underdog. On the road, Baltimore went 52-29 and 46-34 as the favorite and underdog, respectively.

When looking at the Orioles’ run line record last season, they finished with a mark of 96-66. At home, their run line record was 39-42 compared to 57-24 on the road. Their average scoring margin for the season was +0.8 runs per game. In games they won, their scoring margin was +3.4 runs per game, compared to -3.5 runs per game in losses. For the season, they were the favorite in 50.6% of their games, going 41-41 vs. the run line in those games.

When looking at the Orioles’ over/under record from last season, they finished with an O/U record of 81-72. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.6 runs per game. In games where the O/U line was set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 8-7. Last season, 61.7% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Patrick Sandoval is coming off a season in which he made 28 starts and finished with a record of 7-13. His ERA for the season was 4.11, and he had a WHIP of 1.51. Sandoval’s batting average allowed was .253, and his on-base percentage allowed was .337. He finished the season with eight quality starts and gave up a total of 12 home runs. For the season, Sandoval averaged 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.6 walks per game.

Corbin Burnes had a solid season for the Brewers last year, making 32 starts and finishing with a record of 10-8. His ERA for the season was 3.39, and he made 19 quality starts. Burnes’ WHIP for the season was 1.07, and he finished the year with a batting average allowed of .196. His FIP for the season was 3.81, and he finished the year with 22 home runs allowed. Burnes’ strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 3.0, and he finished the year with an average of 2.1 walks per game.

Angels vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

Last season, the Angels’ offense was 15th in the league, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They were 4th in home runs with 231, but their batting average of .245 was 12th in the league. On the road, the Angels averaged 4.6 runs per game compared to 4.4 at home. At home, they were 5th in isolated power (.189) and 28th in batting average (.228).

Brandon Drury is the top returning home run hitter for the Angels after hitting 26 home runs last season. He finished the year with a slugging percentage of .497 and drove in 83 runs. Mike Trout is the second leading returning home run hitter after hitting 18 homers and driving in 44 runs. Aaron Hicks is the top off-season addition to the team after hitting .253 and driving in 36 runs for the Orioles last season.

The Orioles’ offense was one of the league’s best last season, ranking 7th in runs per game at 5.0. On the road, they were even better, averaging 5.5 runs per game, which was 4th in the league. Overall, their batting average was .255, which was 8th in the league. At home, they hit .245 compared to .252 on the road.

The Orioles are returning Anthony Santander, who hit 28 home runs and batted .257 last season. Santander’s slugging percentage was .472. Gunnar Henderson also hit 28 home runs and batted .255. Adley Rutschman led the team in hits with 80 and batted .277. Tony Kemp is a new addition to the team after batting .209 and hitting 5 home runs for the Athletics last season.

Free Angels vs. Orioles MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Angels vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of room on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes of the Orioles is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Patrick Sandoval, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the fourth lowest.

Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 12 hits compared to the Angels with seven. If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Orioles are sitting at -192 to win, but we would go with the over.

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