Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Jul 24, 2023 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Monday, July 24th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Orioles +109/Phillies -128 (BAS allows you to bet at reduced odds and it costs you nothing!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Orioles on Monday, July 24th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL +109 +1.5 O 9.5 (-104)
PHI -128 -1.5 U 9.5 (-118)

Orioles vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Austin Hays 1 LF
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Gunnar Henderson 4 3B
Aaron Hicks 5 CF
Ramón Urías 6 3B
Jordan Westburg 7 2B
James McCann 8 C
Jorge Mateo 9 SS
Dean Kremer RP

 

Batting Order Position
Kyle Schwarber 1 LF
Trea Turner 2 SS
Nick Castellanos 3 RF
Bryce Harper 4 DH
J.T. Realmuto 5 C
Bryson Stott 6 2B
Alec Bohm 7 1B
Edmundo Sosa 8 3B
Brandon Marsh 9 CF
Cristopher Sánchez SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 61-38 SU / OU 51-41 / Runline 59-40
Philadelphia Phillies: 53-46 SU / OU 41-51 / Runline 41-58

The Orioles take on the Phillies in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 61-38. So far, they are 31-18 on the road and 30-20 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 18-10-3.

 

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Orioles have been favored in 46.5% of their games and have runline records of 23-27 and 36-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 99 games at 51-41.

Heading into today’s action, the Phillies’ record of 53-46 has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 11.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 27-27 and 26-19, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 17-13-2.

 

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in 41.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Phillies have been favored in 62.6% of their games and have runline records of 16-29 and 25-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 41-51.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Dean Kremer 20 20 108 10-4 4.80 1.34 22

 

Today will be Dean Kremer’s 21st appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 10-4. His current ERA stands at 4.80 and OBP allowed of .320. So far, he struckout 101 batters and has a WHIP of 1.34. On the road, his ERA is 4.90 compared to 6.35 at home.

Looking back at Kremer’s last appearance, he allowed four hits across 4 2/3 innings of work. Overall, he finished with five earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Orioles won by a score of 8-5 over the Dodgers.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristopher Sánchez 7 7 35 0-3 3.06 1.05 5

 

The Phillies will turn to starter Cristopher Sánchez who has an overall record of 0-3. Through seven appearances his ERA stands at 3.06 with a K/9 figure of 7.64. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.94 to go along with an OBP of .259.

In Cristopher Sánchez’s last game, he threw five innings for the Phillies. While allowing three runs on six hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Brewers with a score of 5-3.

Orioles vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

This season, Baltimore is ranked 9th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 116 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .251 is 13th in the league. On the road, they are 13th in batting average compared to 11th at home.

Baltimore Orioles Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Orioles 99 4.9 (9th) 116 (13th) .251 (13th) .320 (12th) .320 (12th)

 

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Gunnar Henderson .267 5 7 2 .717
Ryan O’Hearn .417 5 1 1 .617
Ramón Urías .133 2 1 0 .267
Jorge Mateo .117 2 2 0 .233
Adley Rutschman .090 2 1 0 .130

 

The Phillies have played 100 games so far this season and are currently ranked 16th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Philadelphia is 18th, having hit the ball out of the park 109 times. Their overall batting average is .256, including .245 on the road and .247 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 100 4.5 (16th) 109 (18th) .256 (8th) .320 (12th) .320 (12th)

 

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryson Stott .217 4 3 1 .367
J.T. Realmuto .175 3 2 1 .325
Brandon Marsh .213 4 2 0 .360
Bryce Harper .150 3 3 0 .150
Kyle Schwarber .100 2 1 0 .100

 

Free MLB Pick

I like the Over here. Dean Kremer has been hit or miss this season, but the Orioles bats have not, scoring four or more runs in eight of their last ten. The Phillies’ pitching has been poor as of late and a little more of that and runs won’t be an issue tonight. Take the Over 9.5. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus when using your credit card to deposit of a 75% bonus when you use Bitcoin at Bovada Sportsbook! They’re simply the best and where we bet as well!

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