Best Bet Alert: Twins vs. White Sox Pick

by | Last updated May 3, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: Wednesday, May 3rd, 7:10 ET
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: NSPCH
Money Line: Twins +113/White Sox -133 (Stop overpaying for odds! Take advantage of reduced/discounted odds at BetAnySports!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago White Sox and the Twins on Wednesday, May 3rd at Guaranteed Rate Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN +113 +1.5 O 8 (-110)
CHW -133 -1.5 U 8 (-110)

Twins vs. White Sox Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Max Kepler 1 RF
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Jorge Polanco 3 2B
Byron Buxton 4 CF
Trevor Larnach 5 RF
Jose Miranda 6 1B
Joey Gallo 7 RF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Louie Varland RP

 

Batting Order Position
Tim Anderson 1 SS
Andrew Benintendi 2 LF
Andrew Vaughn 3 LF
Eloy Jiménez 4 LF
Luis Robert Jr. 5 CF
Gavin Sheets 6 RF
Yasmani Grandal 7 C
Jake Burger 8 3B
Elvis Andrus 9 SS
Dylan Cease SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 17-13 SU / OU 12-15 / Runline 17-13
Chicago White Sox: 9-21 SU / OU 15-12 / Runline 13-17

The Twins head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 17-13. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Minnesota is 10-6 and 7-7 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 5-3.

 

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 56.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Twins have been favored in 70.0% of their games and have runline records of 9-7 and 8-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 12-15.

On a record of 9-21, the White Sox are 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 4-12 while going 5-9 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 0-8.

 

  • The White Sox have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -2.1.
  • The White Sox have been favored in 26.7% of their games and have runline records of 6-8 and 7-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the White Sox’s 30 games at 15-12.

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Pitching Matchup

During Louie Varland’s last outing, he finished with a quality start, allowing three runs on six hits over six innings. Although he did not factor into the decision, the team was able to secure a 4-3 victory over the Yankees.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Dylan Cease 6 6 30 2-1 4.15 1.39 3

Starter Dylan Cease comes in with an overall record of 2-1 for the White Sox. Having made six appearances, his ERA is 4.15 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.11 and an OBP of .326.

Dylan Cease is coming off an outing against the Rays in which he allowed seven runs on nine hits in four innings of work, taking the loss. The White Sox lost the game by a score of 14-5.

Twins vs. White Sox Offense Outlook

As of now, the Twins are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 39 home runs (8th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 4.5 runs per game with a collective batting average of .232. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .364 compared to .428 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Trevor Larnach .267 2 .467 .351
Carlos Correa .231 2 .404 .310
Christian Vázquez .286 0 .343 .299
Jose Miranda .189 0 .226 .227
Byron Buxton .209 0 .302 .290

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Byron Buxton .317 6 6 3 .883
Max Kepler .333 5 3 1 .683
Carlos Correa .233 4 3 1 .500
Michael A. Taylor .229 3 2 0 .312
Jorge Polanco .180 4 1 1 .330

With 4.0 runs per game, Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 29 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .233 is 22nd in the league. While their home batting average ranks 22nd, they rank 24th on the road.

Chicago White Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Andrew Benintendi .295 0 .359 .307
Andrew Vaughn .265 2 .446 .358
Yasmani Grandal .286 2 .492 .369
Luis Robert Jr. .184 2 .322 .232
Elvis Andrus .197 0 .237 .220

Chicago White Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Andrew Vaughn .357 7 4 2 .707
Jake Burger .273 5 5 2 .730
Eloy Jiménez .383 8 3 1 .600
Adam Haseley .360 6 4 0 .460
Elvis Andrus .170 4 2 0 .210

Free MLB Pick

The Twins have had some recent success but are 1-5 in their last six road games. Louie Varland got called up to make this start due to Mahle being put on the DL. Varland has good stuff and has missed bats in the minors, but as with all MLB players, there’s a learning curve and he’ll be up against it against a White Sox team coming off the skid and who have won two games in a row now. The Sox will send Dylan Cease to the mound. You may be down on him after he had two poor starts in a row, but chalk that up to an enigma, because for whatever reasons, the Tampa Bay Rays hit him well. He’s been dominant against all other teams this season. We’ll never see him at this cheap of a price for the rest of the season, so I’m all over the Sox! Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 in free bets at the bookie with the BEST live wagering platform on the web! —> Bovada Sportsbook!

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