Best Bet: Dodgers vs. Braves 6/24/22

by | Last updated Jun 24, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, June 24th, 07:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports Southeast
Money Line: Dodgers -120 / Braves +100 (Get better lines at BetNow)
Total Line: 9.0


Los Angeles: Julio Urías (4-6, 2.56)
Atlanta: Ian Anderson (6-3, 4.35)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Cody Bellinger CF
Eddy Alvarez RF
Chris Taylor LF
Justin Turner 3B
Max Muncy 3B
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Trea Turner SS
Freddie Freeman 1B
Julio Urías P

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall LF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Marcell Ozuna LF
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
William Contreras C
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Ian Anderson P


Los Angeles Dodgers: 43-25-0 SU / OU 29-34-5 / Run Line W/L 39-29-0
Atlanta Braves: 41-30-0 SU / OU 38-30-3 / Run Line W/L 36-35-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, June 24th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a 5 run win over the Reds by a score of 10-5. The Reds came up with 13 hits leading to 5 runs against Los Angeles’s pitchers. The Dodgers lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 16 hits, leading to 10 runs. In the matchup, Los Angeles was favored at -215.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 67 of their games, winning at a rate of 63.0%. Together, the Dodgers and Reds combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. Games involving the Dodgers have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 29-34-5.

In the Dodgers’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +19. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 5.18 runs per game. But over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 7.2 So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 22 series played, going 14-7-1.

The Braves are coming off a tight 7-6 win over the Giants. Atlanta’s pitching staff gave up 14 hits, leading to 6 Giants runs. In the victory, the Braves came up with 10 hits and 7 runs. Atlanta picked up the win while being favored at -145.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Braves and Giants combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 38-30-3.

In their last 5 games, the Braves have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +7 (last 5). Compared to their season average, the Braves come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 5.8 runs per game. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 9-8-5.

Pitching Matchup

Julio Urías gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 4-6. Through 13 appearances, Urías has an ERA of just 2.56 while averaging 5.39 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.212. Opponents have been able to hit for power against Urías, as he has an HR/9 figure of 1.54. On the season, Julio Urías has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.77 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Urías has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.18 per contest.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Ian Anderson. For the year, he has a record of 6-3. So far, Anderson has put together an ERA of 4.35. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.39 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.248. So far, Anderson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.03 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Ian Anderson has a strong K% of 20.0%, including a per game average of 4.54. Command has been a problem for Anderson, as he is giving up 4.09 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs Atlanta History

For the season, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves will be playing their 4th game of the season. Los Angeles has the lead in the series at 2-1. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 8.75 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.0 runs. When looking back to last season, Los Angeles and Atlanta split the season series, with each team picking up 6. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-6, with the average run total being 8.75 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.75 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between Los Angeles and Atlanta, the Dodgers hold a slight edge on the moneyline. Even though Julio Urias record is only 4-6, he has a WHIP of just 1.02. In addition, Urias has given up more than 2 runs just 1 time in his last 6 outings. I like Los Angeles on the moneyline.

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