Bet the Runline: Marlins vs. Phillies Pick 8/9/22

by | Aug 9, 2022 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday August 9th, 07:05 ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Money Line: Marlins 190 / Phillies -230 (Bovada - It’s where we bet! 50% bonus! Rebates on ALL your wagers; win or lose! The BEST live betting platform on the web and they pay FAST!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Miami: Braxton Garrett (2-5, 3.88)
Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69)

Marlins Projected Lineup

Bryan De La Cruz CF
Charles LeBlanc 2B
J.J. Bleday LF
Peyton Burdick RF
Jacob Stallings C
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Garrett Cooper 1B
Joey Wendle SS
Miguel Rojas SS
Braxton Garrett P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Matt Vierling LF
Bryson Stott SS
Nick Castellanos RF
Alec Bohm 3B
Edmundo Sosa 3B
J.T. Realmuto C
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Jean Segura 2B
Kyle Schwarber LF
Zack Wheeler P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Miami Marlins: 49-59-0 SU / OU 49-54-5 / Run Line W/L 49-59-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 60-48-0 SU / OU 56-47-5 / Run Line W/L 57-51-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins on Tuesday August 9th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-230), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Miami picked up a 3 run win over the Cubs (3-0). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Cubs to 0 runs on 2 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 3 runs on their 8 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 122.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Marlins and Cubs stayed below the over-under line set at 9.5 runs. With this result, Miami’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 49-54-5.

After their 5 most recent games, the Marlins have gone just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at 0. On offense, Miami’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 1.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Miami’s overall series record is just 10-20-5.

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a big win over the Nationals by a score of 13-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Nationals to 1 run on 7 hits. At the plate, the Phillies scored 13 times on 13 hits. Philadelphia picked up the win while being favored at -320.0. So far, the team has won 59.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Phillies and Nationals went over the run total line set at 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 56-47-5.

The Phillies come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +26. Overall, the Phillies are averaging 4.78 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 7.8 runs per contest. On the season, Philadelphia has won more than half of their series, going 16-15-3.

Pitching Matchup

Miami will roll with Braxton Garrett (2-5) as their starter. So far, Garrett has put together an ERA of 3.88. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.27 innings. Garrett comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.238. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Garrett, as he is allowing just 0.78 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Braxton Garrett has a strong strikeout percentage of 27.0%, including a per game average of 6.0. Throughout the season, Garrett has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.17 per contest.

Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, with an overall record of 10-5. Heading into the game, Wheeler has appeared in 20 contests, posting an ERA of just 2.69. On average, he pitches 6.01 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.218 against him. This year Wheeler is allowing just 0.75 home runs per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Zack Wheeler has a strong K% of 27.0%, including a per game average of 6.45. Command has been a problem for Wheeler, as he is giving up 1.86 walks per outing.

Miami vs Philadelphia History

Today’s matchup between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies will be their 11th meeting of the season. Currently, Philadelphia is winning the season series 6-4. Through 10 games, the series over-under record is 5-5, with the average run total sitting at 7.74 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.2 runs. Going back to last year, Miami won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11. Last year, the Marlins and Phillies averaged 7.74 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.11 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our ATL/BOS projected Runlnie winner for 8/9/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Leading up to Tuesday’s matchup between Miami and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has been throwing the ball well of late, giving up just 4 runs across his last 3 outings. Wheeler completed 7 innings in each of these games. Look for this trend to continue as Philadelphia picks up a win.

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