Bet the Total: Giants vs. Diamondbacks 7/27/22

by | Jul 27, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday July 27th, 03:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: NBCS BA
Money Line: Giants -130 / Diamondbacks +108
Total Line: 8.0
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STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Logan Webb (9-3, 2.77)
Arizona: Zac Gallen (5-2, 3.4)

Giants Projected Lineup

Mike Yastrzemski CF
David Villar 3B
Luis Gonzalez P
Thairo Estrada SS
Joey Bart C
Wilmer Flores 2B
Joc Pederson LF
LaMonte Wade Jr RF
Brandon Belt 1B
Logan Webb P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Jake McCarthy LF
Carson Kelly C
David Peralta LF
Daulton Varsho RF
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Alek Thomas CF
Zac Gallen P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 48-49-0 SU / OU 47-45-5 / Run Line W/L 45-52-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 44-53-0 SU / OU 43-50-4 / Run Line W/L 56-41-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday July 27th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.0.

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Recent Form

The Giants are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Diamondbacks by a score of 7-3. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Giants staff allowed 5 hits. With their 7 hits, the Giants could only muster 3 runs. This defeat came despite being favored at -200.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 73 of their games, winning at a rate of 55%. Together, the Giants and Diamondbacks combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as San Francisco has had the over hit in more than half of their games (47-45-5).

The Giants will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 0-5 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -20. On offense, San Francisco’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 2.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 32 series played, going 14-13-5.

In their last game, the Arizona Diamondbacks picked up a 4 run win over the Giants by a score of 7-3. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 7 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 5 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 170.0 on the moneyline, the Diamondbacks still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 68 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 44.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Diamondbacks and Giants combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. So far, Arizona has an over-under record of just 43-50-4.

In their last 5 games, the Diamondbacks have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +24 (last 5). The Diamondback’s offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.30. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 11-15-5.

Pitching Matchup

San Francisco will roll with Logan Webb (9-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Webb has lasted an average of 6.16 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.77. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.232 off the right-hander. So far, Webb has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.58 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Logan Webb has a strong strikeout percentage of 21.0%, including a per game average of 5.15. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.33 walks per outing.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send Zac Gallen to the mound with an overall record of 5-2. To date, Gallen has an ERA of 3.4, while lasting an average of 5.57 innings per appearance. Through 18 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.207. Gallen is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.99 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Zac Gallen has a strong K% of 23.0%, including a per game average of 5.33. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.5 walks per outing.

San Francisco vs Arizona History

Today’s matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks will be their 9th meeting of the season. Currently, Arizona is winning the season series 5-3. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-4. The average run total in these games is 10.47 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.62 runs. Going back to last year, San Francisco won the season series, 17 games to 2. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-7. Last year, the Giants and Diamondbacks averaged 10.47 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.21 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Arizona
  • San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s NL West matchup between San Francisco and Arizona, the over-under betting line is set at 8 runs. With Zac Gallen and Logan Webb on the mound, I expect this to be a low-scoring, highly contested matchup. Look for this game to remain below 8 runs.

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