Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Moneyline Pick 7/27/22

by | Jul 27, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Wednesday July 27th, 07:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Money Line: Cardinals +180 / Blue Jays -220
Total Line: 8.0
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STARTING PITCHING

St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (6-8, 3.4)
Toronto: Kevin Gausman (7-7, 3.0)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Corey Dickerson LF
Lars Nootbaar RF
Brendan Donovan RF
Nolan Gorman 2B
Andrew Knizner C
Tyler O’Neill LF
Albert Pujols 1B
Tommy Edman RF
Dylan Carlson CF
Adam Wainwright P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hern√°ndez RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Danny Jansen C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer RF
Bo Bichette SS
Kevin Gausman P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

St. Louis Cardinals: 51-47-0 SU / OU 46-48-4 / Run Line W/L 52-46-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 54-43-0 SU / OU 53-43-1 / Run Line W/L 43-54-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday, July 27th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-220), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Cardinals will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Blue Jays by the score of 10-3. On their way to giving up 10 runs, the Cardinals staff allowed 14 hits. With their 8 hits, the Cardinals could only muster 3 runs. The loss came as St. Louis was the betting underdog, getting 185.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Cardinals and Blue Jays combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. Even with this game going over the total, St. Louis still has an over-under record of just 46-48-4.

The Cardinals will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -3. Compared to their overall average of 4.57 runs per game, the team’s offense is playing well. Over their last 5 contests, they have bumped this figure up to 5.6. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 30 series played, going 13-10-7.

The Toronto Blue Jays will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Cardinals by 7 runs (10-3). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with 10 runs on 14 hits. Toronto picked up the win while being favored at -225.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 78 games, winning at a rate of 59.0%. The Blue Jays and Cardinals went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 53-43-1.

Over their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +39. The Blue Jays’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 10.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.93. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 17-11-3.

Pitching Matchup

Adam Wainwright gets the start for the Cardinals, with an overall record of 6-8. To date, Wainwright has an ERA of 3.4 while lasting an average of 6.11 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.251. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Wainwright, as he is allowing just 1.01 per 9 innings. Per game, Adam Wainwright is averaging 4.79, on a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Command has been a problem for Wainwright, as he is giving up 2.63 walks per outing.

Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays, with an overall record of 7-7. In his previous outings, Gausman has lasted an average of 5.5 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.0. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a batting average allowed of 0.278. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gausman, as he is allowing just 0.45 per 9 innings. On the season, Kevin Gausman has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28%. This has led to an average of 6.44 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Gausman has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.64 per contest.

St. Louis vs Toronto History

For the season, the St. Louis Cardinals and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 4th game of the season. Toronto holds the edge in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-0. The average run total in these games is nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.0 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s interleague matchup between St. Louis and Toronto, I expect the Blue Jays to continue their winning ways, as Kevin Gausman has been pitching well and will be facing a depleted Cardinals lineup. I recommend taking the Blue Jays on the moneyline.

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