Bet the Total: Jays at Red Sox Pick

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, May 4th, 6:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Blue Jays -162/Red Sox +139 (Save tons of $ by betting at reduced odds at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Blue Jays on Thursday, May 4th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 18-13 SU / OU 13-16 / Runline 15-16
Boston Red Sox: 18-14 SU / OU 22-10 / Runline 18-14

Heading into their game vs. the Red Sox, the Blue Jays have a record of 18-13 and have dropped four straight games. In the AL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 7-2. At home, they have gone 9-3 and 9-10 on the road.

• The Blue Jays have six straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 71.0% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 9-10 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 13-16.

On a record of 18-14, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 6-7 while going 12-7 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 6-3.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 43.8% of their games and have runline records of 10-9 and 8-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 69% of the Red Sox’s 32 games at 22-10.

Pitching Matchup

With an overall record of 2-2, the Blue Jays will give Kevin Gausman the start. His ERA stands at 2.33 with a K/9 figure of 1.4 after making six appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.38 and an OBP of .253.

In his last outing, Kevin Gausman did not factor into the decision in the Blue Jays’ 1-0 win over the Mariners. However, he did finish with a quality start, allowing zero runs on six hits across seven innings of work.

With an overall record of 0-1, the Red Sox will give Brayan Bello the start. His ERA stands at 6.57 with a K/9 figure of 1.1 after making three appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.72 and an OBP of .407.

Brayan Bello is coming off an outing against the Guardians in which he gave up one run and five hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Red Sox won by a score of 8-7.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto is ranked 11th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 35 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .254, which ranks 11th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 9th compared to 9th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With 32 games under their belt, the Red Sox are ranked 3rd in the league at 5.8 runs per game. Boston has gone deep 44 times, ranking them 5th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .270, .233 on the road, and .285 at home.

Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Red Sox have been on an offensive tear lately, scoring six or more runs in five consecutive games, all of which resulted in victories. However, the Blue Jays might possess the key to halt Boston’s explosive offense when they send Kevin Gausman to the mound. Gausman, a right-handed pitcher, has been nothing short of exceptional in his previous two starts, delivering 14 scoreless innings while striking out 24 batters and issuing just one walk. Impressively, Gausman has recorded double-digit strikeouts in three of his last four outings. Despite one subpar performance during this stretch, it can be attributed to a logical regression following a season-high 103-pitch count and limited rest.

For the Red Sox, Brayan Bello will be the starting pitcher. Although the young right-hander has struggled against the Blue Jays in his three career starts, he exhibited promise in his second-to-last appearance at Fenway Park, where he allowed only two runs across five innings and registered seven strikeouts, resulting in a no-decision. Bello’s early season performance was less than ideal, but he demonstrated marked improvement in his most recent start, surrendering just one run on five hits over five innings and fanning six batters.

Considering the strong pitching performances of both Gausman and Bello, I recommend betting on the Under 8.5 for this matchup. Question: Are you getting dealt 20-cent baseball odds at your bookie? Why tolerate that? Start betting for less and saving your hard earned loot by making the switch to a dimeline sportsbook!