Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds & Picks 7/8/22

by | Last updated Jul 8, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, July 8th, 10:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: Apple TV+

Money Line: Blue Jays OFF / Mariners OFF

Total Line: OFF

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Toronto: Ross Stripling (4-3, 3.32)
Seattle: George Kirby (2-3, 3.75)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hernández RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Cavan Biggio RF
Alejandro Kirk C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
George Springer RF
Bo Bichette SS
Ross Stripling P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier 2B
Dylan Moore RF
Cal Raleigh C
Abraham Toro 2B
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty LF
Carlos Santana 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
J.P. Crawford SS
George Kirby P


Toronto Blue Jays: 45-39-0 SU / OU 40-39-3 / Run Line W/L 35-49-0
Seattle Mariners: 42-42-0 SU / OU 31-43-7 / Run Line W/L 43-41-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, July 8th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (OFF), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The Blue Jays are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Mariners by a score of 8-3. In the losing effort, the pitching staff still held the Mariners to just 1 run on 10 hits. The Blue Jays ended the game with just 3 runs on 10 hits. The loss came as Toronto was the betting underdog, getting 220.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Blue Jays and Mariners stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. Toronto games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 40-39-3.

In the Blue Jays’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +3. Toronto comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.38. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 27 series played, going 13-11-3.

In their last game, the Seattle Mariners picked up a 5 run win over the Blue Jays by a score of 8-3. For the game, the pitching staff held the Blue Jays to 2 runs on 10 hits. At the plate, the Mariners scored 8 times on 10 hits. In the game, Seattle was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -220.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Blue Jays combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 31-43-7.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +12 (last 5). Seattle is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.8 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.00. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 14-12-1.

Pitching Matchup

Ross Stripling gets the start for the Blue Jays, with an overall record of 4-3. In his previous outings, Stripling has lasted an average of 3.27 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.32. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.234. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Stripling, as he is allowing just 0.72 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 2.58 per game, on a K rate of 19.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.88 walks per contest.

Seattle will roll with George Kirby (2-3) as their starter. To date, Kirby has an ERA of 3.75 while lasting an average of 5.45 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.257. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Kirby, averaging 1.8 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, George Kirby is averaging 5.27, on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.2 walks per contest.

Toronto vs Seattle History

For the season, the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 5th game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Toronto and Seattle each have 2 wins. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-3, with the average run total sitting at 10.83 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Seattle picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 10.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.17 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Toronto Is 28-22 In Game Outside AL East
  • Toronto Is 21-19 On The Road
  • Seattle Is 26-21-1 In Games Outside Of AL West
  • Seattle Is 32-39-2 In The AL

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Prediction

In Friday night’s matchup between Toronto and Seattle, I expect both Ross Stripling and George Kirby to have good performances on the mound. After giving up just 1 run and 3 hits in his last outing, Kirby has lowered his WHIP to just 1.15. On the other side, Ross Stripling has given up 3 or more earned runs just 3 times all season. I recommend taking the under.

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