Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros ML Pick

by | Last updated Aug 24, 2023 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
Date: Thursday, August 24th, 2:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Red Sox +109/Astros -129 (Save $ with reduced odds!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Red Sox on Thursday, August 24th at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BOS +109 +1.5 O 9 (-107)
HOU -129 -1.5 U 9 (-114)

Red Sox vs. Astros Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Alex Verdugo 1 RF
Rafael Devers 2 3B
Justin Turner 3 DH
Masataka Yoshida 4 LF
Triston Casas 5 1B
Trevor Story 6 SS
Adam Duvall 7 CF
Reese McGuire 8 C
Pablo Reyes 9 2B
Brayan Bello SP

 

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 DH
Kyle Tucker 4 RF
José Abreu 5 1B
Chas McCormick 6 LF
Jeremy Peña 7 SS
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
J.P. France SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 67-60 SU / OU 65-60 / Runline 66-61
Houston Astros: 72-56 SU / OU 65-60 / Runline 64-64

The Red Sox head into today’s game vs. the Astros with an overall record of 67-60. This mark has them sitting 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 32-32 and 35-28, respectively. Boston’s overall series record sits at 22-16-3.

 

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 52.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 49.6% of their games and have runline records of 33-30 and 33-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Red Sox’s 127 games at 65-60.

For the season, the Astros have put together a record of 72-56, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL West standings, they are 2nd, trailing by one game. This year, they have gone 35-30 at home and 37-26 on the road with an overall series mark of 22-15-3.

 

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
  • The Astros have been favored in 71.9% of their games and have runline records of 29-36 and 35-28 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Astros’ 128 games at 65-60.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Brayan Bello 21 21 119 9-7 3.70 1.26 17


Entering with a record of 9-7, Brayan Bello is making his 22nd appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.70 on a batting average allowed of .256. On the road, he is 5-2 with a 4.53 ERA and 4-5 at home on an ERA of 4.13. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .427 against him.

The last time Brayan Bello took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 8-3 against the Yankees. Bello gave up one run and six hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
J.P. France 18 17 108 9-4 2.75 1.21 12


Today will be J.P. France’s 19th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 9-4. His current ERA stands at 2.75 and OBP allowed of .292. So far, he struckout 80 batters and has a WHIP of 1.21. On the road, his ERA is 1.88 compared to 4.15 at home.

Even though France finished with a quality start in his most recent outing, the Astros still lost to the Mariners by a score of 2-0. For the game, he allowed seven hits, leading to two earned runs. This statline came across six innings.

Red Sox vs. Astros Offense Outlook

The Red Sox come into the game ranked 8th in the league on an average of 4.9 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Boston is 16th, having hit the ball out of the park 146 times. Their overall batting average stands at .262. On the road, they are hitting .234 while .277 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Rafael Devers .270 .342 .521 85 29 2
Justin Turner .288 .357 .484 81 20 4
Masataka Yoshida .294 .348 .457 61 13 8


Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Adam Duvall .400 9 4 3 .910
Rafael Devers .360 8 6 2 .730
Justin Turner .225 4 2 1 .475
Pablo Reyes .417 6 4 0 .479
Luis Urías .083 1 2 1 .333


On offense, Houston is 6th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 8th, having hit 167 homers. Their overall batting average is .253, including .246 on the road and .248 at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Kyle Tucker .293 .372 .522 95 25 24
Alex Bregman .256 .357 .430 82 20 3
Yordan Alvarez .278 .383 .556 68 21 0


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alex Bregman .467 8 7 1 .883
Yainer Diaz .390 9 4 2 .750
Chas McCormick .260 6 3 2 .500
Mauricio Dubón .333 5 2 1 .583
Jose Altuve .300 7 3 0 .367


Free MLB Pick

I prefer Houston with J.P. France, who in his last seven outings has allowed two or fewer runs. Take the Astros -112.

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