Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays ML Pick
Date: Friday, September 15th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Red Sox +114/Blue Jays -136
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Red Sox on Friday, September 15th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | +114 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-118) |
| TOR | -136 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (-104) |
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1 | RF |
| Rafael Devers | 2 | 3B |
| Justin Turner | 3 | DH |
| Triston Casas | 4 | 1B |
| Adam Duvall | 5 | CF |
| Masataka Yoshida | 6 | LF |
| Trevor Story | 7 | SS |
| Pablo Reyes | 8 | 2B |
| Connor Wong | 9 | C |
| Brayan Bello | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 1 | RF |
| Bo Bichette | 2 | SS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 3 | DH |
| Davis Schneider | 4 | 3B |
| Whit Merrifield | 5 | 2B |
| Daulton Varsho | 6 | LF |
| Spencer Horwitz | 7 | 1B |
| Alejandro Kirk | 8 | C |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 9 | CF |
| José Berríos | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Boston Red Sox: 74-73 SU / OU 79-65 / Runline 73-74
For the season, the Red Sox have put together a record of 74-73, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the AL East standings, they are 4th, trailing by 17.5 games. This year, they have gone 38-38 at home and 36-35 on the road with an overall series mark of 22-20-4.
- The Red Sox have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
- The Red Sox have been favored in 49.0% of their games and have runline records of 36-40 and 37-34 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 147 games at 79-65.
Heading into their game vs. the Red Sox, the Blue Jays have a record of 80-67 and have dropped four straight games. In the AL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 27-16-2. At home, they have gone 38-34 and 42-33 on the road.
- The Blue Jays have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
- The Blue Jays have been favored in 75.5% of their games and have runline records of 30-42 and 36-39 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 64-78.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello | 25 | 25 | 142 | 12-8 | 3.68 | 1.28 | 19 |
Brayan Bello has an overall record of 12-8, and will get the start for the Red Sox. With 25 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.68, while his K/9 figure is 7.42. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.26 and an OBP of .308.
Bello picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up three earned runs and seven hits across five innings vs. the Orioles. The Red Sox won the game by a score of 7-3.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Berríos | 29 | 29 | 171 | 10-10 | 3.63 | 1.20 | 23 |
José Berríos heads into the game with an overall record of 10-10 and an ERA of 3.63. In his 16 appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 4.28 and record of 5-5. At home, he has put together a mark of 5-5 and ERA of 3.51. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.20, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .236. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .388.
José Berríos finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Blue Jays took down the Royals by final score of 5-2. Berríos gave up two runs and five hits across seven innings.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook
This season, Boston is 8th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. Their home run count is currently around the league average, with 174 long balls hit. The team’s current batting average of .263 is 3rd in the league, while their away batting average is ranked 15th compared to 2nd at home.
Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 148 | 5 (8th) | 174 (13th) | .263 (3rd) | .329 (6th) | .329 (6th) |
Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | .367 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .717 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | .260 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .620 |
| Triston Casas | .267 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .517 |
| Wilyer Abreu | .367 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .367 |
| Luis Urías | .333 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .479 |
This season, Toronto has been scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 15th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 169 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .258 ranks 5th in the league. On the road, the Blue Jays are 3rd in batting average, compared to 16th at home.
Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | .299 | 14 | .460 | .337 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .261 | 20 | .453 | .336 |
| George Springer | .265 | 15 | .415 | .325 |
| Whit Merrifield | .282 | 8 | .386 | .312 |
| Matt Chapman | .231 | 11 | .402 | .318 |
Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavan Biggio | .375 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .812 |
| Davis Schneider | .150 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .350 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .117 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .267 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | .146 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .417 |
| George Springer | .200 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .200 |
Free MLB Pick
Take Boston +117
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