Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

by | Last updated Sep 17, 2023 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Sunday, September 17th, 1:37 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Red Sox +118/Blue Jays -141
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Red Sox on Sunday, September 17th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BOS +118 +1.5 O 8 (-117)
TOR -141 -1.5 U 8 (-105)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ceddanne Rafaela 1 CF
Rafael Devers 2 3B
Justin Turner 3 1B
Alex Verdugo 4 RF
Masataka Yoshida 5 DH
Adam Duvall 6 LF
Trevor Story 7 SS
Luis Urías 8 2B
Connor Wong 9 C
Nick Pivetta SP


Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 RF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 DH
Davis Schneider 4 3B
Whit Merrifield 5 2B
Alejandro Kirk 6 C
Daulton Varsho 7 LF
Spencer Horwitz 8 1B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Hyun Jin Ryu SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 74-75 SU / OU 79-67 / Runline 74-75
Toronto Blue Jays: 82-67 SU / OU 64-80 / Runline 67-82

If the Red Sox are going to climb out of last place in the AL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Blue Jays. Heading into the game, the Red Sox have lost three straight games and stand with an overall record of 74-75. On the road, the Red Sox are 36-37 and 38-38 at home. The team’s overall series record is 22-21-4.

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 48.3% of their games and have runline records of 36-40 and 38-35 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Red Sox’s 149 games at 79-67.

On a record of 82-67, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 10.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Red Sox, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 42-33 while going 40-34 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 27-17-2.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 45.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 75.8% of their games and have runline records of 31-43 and 36-39 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 64-80.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Nick Pivetta 35 13 122 9-9 4.56 1.22 22

Entering with a record of 9-9, Nick Pivetta is making his 36th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.56 on a batting average allowed of .214. On the road, he is 3-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 6-6 at home on an ERA of 4.98. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .419 against him.

Nick Pivetta is coming off an outing against the Yankees in which he allowed three runs on four hits in 5 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. The Red Sox lost the game by a score of 3-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Hyun Jin Ryu 8 8 40 3-3 2.92 1.05 6

Today will be Hyun Jin Ryu’s 9th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 3-3. His current ERA stands at 2.92 and OBP allowed of .251. So far, he struckout 33 batters and has a WHIP of 1.05. On the road, his ERA is 1.80 compared to 3.82 at home.

The last time Hyun Jin Ryu took the mound, the Blue Jays fell to the Rangers by a score of 6-3. Individually, Ryu took the loss while giving up three runs across six innings of work.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

The Red Sox have played 150 games this season and currently hold a 8th position in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 175 times, putting Boston 15th in the league. Their batting average stands at .261, including .234 on the road and .273 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Rafael Devers .274 .350 .514 97 32 3
Justin Turner .283 .353 .474 94 23 4
Masataka Yoshida .286 .339 .446 68 15 8

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Rafael Devers .305 6 4 3 .722
Ceddanne Rafaela .258 7 4 2 .558
Wilyer Abreu .403 7 2 0 .458
Trevor Story .140 3 1 1 .330
Triston Casas .200 4 1 0 .250

In terms of offensive production Toronto is currently ranked 15th in the league this season. The team has hit 171 home runs, which is 17th, and their batting average of .257 is ranked 7th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 3rd in batting average, compared to 16th when playing at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Blue Jays 149 4.5 (15th) 171 (17th) .257 (7th) .330 (5th) .330 (5th)

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .350 6 4 3 .850
Bo Bichette .173 3 2 0 .240
Daulton Varsho .167 2 2 0 .367
Cavan Biggio .375 3 2 0 .438
Davis Schneider .100 2 1 1 .300

Free MLB Pick

Take the Over 8.5

Need a sportsbook promo code? Click Here!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!