Braves vs. Cubs Runline Wager 6/17/22

by | Last updated Jun 17, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, June 17th, 02:20 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: Bally Sports Southeast

Money Line: Braves -175 / Cubs +144 (Bovada – 50% bonus, rebates on ALL wagers, BEST live betting on the planet!)

Total Line: 8.0


Atlanta: Charlie Morton (4-3, 5.67)

Chicago: Keegan Thompson (6-2, 3.67)

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall LF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Travis d’Arnaud C
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Nico Hoerner SS
Jason Heyward RF
Patrick Wisdom RF
Rafael Ortega CF
Jonathan Villar 3B
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Frank Schwindel P
Christopher Morel 2B
Keegan Thompson P


Atlanta Braves: 37-27-0 SU / OU 35-26-3 / Run Line W/L 35-29-0
Chicago Cubs: 23-39-0 SU / OU 31-29-3 / Run Line W/L 31-32-0

The Chicago Cubs host the Atlanta Braves on Friday, June 17th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-175), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a 6-run win over the Nationals by a score of 8-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Nationals to 2 runs on 4 hits. The Braves benefited from an offense that generated 8 runs on 14 hits. In the matchup, Atlanta was favored at -230.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 54 of their games, winning at a rate of 65.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. Atlanta has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (35-26-3).

In their last 5 games, the Braves have gone a perfect 5-0. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +24. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.81 runs per game. But, over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 8.4. So far, Atlanta has won over half of their 20 series played, going 8-7-5.

The Cubs will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 6-4 to the Padres. Chicago’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 6 runs for the Padres. With their 7 hits, the Cubs could only plate 4 runners. Leading into Chicago’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 165.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 41 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 34.0%. With this result, the Cubs and Padres combined to fall below the over-under line of 11.0 runs. Even still, Chicago games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 31-29-3.

In their last 5 contests, the Cubs have just 0 wins, going 0-5. During this time, the team has a run differential of -40. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 3.8 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.25. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 4-11-5.


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Pitching Matchup

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves, with an overall record of 4-3. So far, Morton has put together an ERA of 5.67. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.01 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.265. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Morton, averaging 1.35 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Charlie Morton has a strong strikeout percentage of 24.0%, including a per game average of 5.5. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Morton is averaging 3.88 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Chicago turns to starter Keegan Thompson. For the year, he has a record of 6-2. To date, Thompson has an ERA of 3.67 while lasting an average of 3.5 innings per appearance. So far, Thompson has a batting average allowed of 0.244. So far, Thompson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.1 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Thompson has a strikeout percentage of just 19.0% and a per game average of 2.79. Throughout the season, Thompson has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.31 per contest.

Atlanta vs Chicago History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Atlanta is leading the season series, 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 11.86 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Last season, Atlanta picked up the series win, 5 games to 2. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 5-2. Last year, the Braves and Cubs averaged 11.86 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 6.14 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Milwaukee at Cincinnati betting predictions for 5/17/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 9 games when playing Atlanta
  • Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs Prediction

After getting off to a strong start on the mound, Cubs starter Keegan Thompson has struggled of late. In his last 3 outings, he has lasted a combined 9 innings while giving up 15 runs. Look for Atlanta to find success at the plate as they pick up the win and cover the runline vs Chicago.

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