Braves vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Pick

by | Jun 1, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday, June 1st, 03:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: Bally Sports South
Money Line: Braves -150 / Diamondbacks +126 (Bovada)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Kyle Wright (4-3, 2.68)
Arizona: Madison Bumgarner (2-3, 3.35)

Braves Projected Lineup

Dansby Swanson SS
William Contreras C
Matt Olson 1B
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Adam Duvall RF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Ozzie Albies 2B
Kyle Wright P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Jake McCarthy RF
Alek Thomas CF
David Peralta LF
Pavin Smith 1B
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Daulton Varsho CF
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Madison Bumgarner P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 23-27-0 SU / OU 28-19-3 / Run Line W/L 23-27-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 25-26-0 SU / OU 22-28-1 / Run Line W/L 31-20-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, June 1st at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Braves suffered a 1 run loss to the Diamondbacks by a score of 8-7. Atlanta’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 12 hits, leading to 8 runs. On offense, the Braves’ 14 hits and 7 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Braves suffered the loss, despite being favored at -163.0. Through 40 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 53.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.5 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Atlanta has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (28-19-3).

Over the Braves’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -3. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.14. Atlanta’s overall series record is just 4-7-5.

The Diamondbacks are coming off a tight 8-7 win over the Braves. Arizona’s pitching staff gave up 14 hits, leading to 7 Braves runs. At the plate, the Diamondbacks scored 8 times on 12 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 137.0 on the moneyline, the Diamondbacks still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 41 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 46.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Diamondbacks and Braves combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. So far, Arizona has an over-under record of just 22-28-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Diamondbacks have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of 0 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (4.2) similar to their season-long average of 3.98. On the season, Arizona has won more than half of their series, going 7-6-3.

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Pitching Matchup

Atlanta will roll with Kyle Wright (4-3) as their starter. Through 9 appearances, Wright has an ERA of just 2.68 while averaging 5.91 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.198 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.51 home runs allowed per 9 innings. On the season, Kyle Wright has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28% while averaging 6.78 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.02 walks per contest.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send Madison Bumgarner to the mound with an overall record of 2-3. So far, Bumgarner has put together an ERA of 3.35. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.81 innings. Through 10 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.22. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Bumgarner is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.68 homers per 9 innings pitched. Bumgarner is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.1 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 16.0%. Throughout the season, Bumgarner has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.98 per contest.

Atlanta vs Arizona History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks will be playing their 2nd game of the season. Arizona holds the edge in the series at 2-0. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.14 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.5 runs. Last season, Atlanta picked up the series win, 4 games to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 5-2. Last year, the Braves and Diamondbacks averaged 9.14 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.86 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 17 of Atlanta’s last 23 games when playing on the road against Arizona
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games at home

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into today’s National League matchup between Atlanta and Arizona, I expect the Braves to bounce back with a win. In Dakota Hudson’s last 5 outings, Atlanta is just 1-4. However, Atlanta’s highest offensive output in these games is just 4 runs. On the other side, over his past 4 starts, Madison Bumgarner has seen his ERA rise from 1.78 to 3.35. I like the Braves on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Braves Moneyline

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