Braves vs. Mets odds & Picks 8/6/22

by | Aug 6, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Date: Saturday August 6th, 07:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: Bally Sports Southeast
Money Line: Braves +108 / Mets -130
Total Line: 7.0
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STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 3.75)
New York: David Peterson (5-2, 3.54)

Braves Projected Lineup

Robbie Grossman RF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Travis d’Arnaud C
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Jake Odorizzi P

Mets Projected Lineup

Mark Canha LF
Luis Guillorme 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
James McCann C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
David Peterson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 64-43-0 SU / OU 54-49-4 / Run Line W/L 55-52-0
New York Mets: 67-39-0 SU / OU 54-44-8 / Run Line W/L 57-49-0

The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, August 6th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

Atlanta looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Mets by the score of 9-6. For the game, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 6 runs on 12 hits. The Braves lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 14 hits, leading to 9 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Braves and Mets combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. Atlanta has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (54-49-4).

The Braves are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +12. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 5.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.79. So far, Atlanta has won over half of their 34 series played, going 16-11-7.

New York will look to move on from a 3 run loss to the Braves, falling by the score of 9-6. New York’s pitching staff gave up 14 hits, leading to 9 runs for the Braves. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 12 hits. New York came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-130.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 82 games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. The Mets and Braves went over the run total line set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 54-44-8.

In their last 5 games, the Mets have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +3. Overall, the Mets are averaging 4.75 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 5.8 runs per contest. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 24-6-4.

Pitching Matchup

Atlanta will roll with Jake Odorizzi (4-3) as their starter. So far, Odorizzi has put together an ERA of 3.75. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.0 innings. Odorizzi comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.23. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Odorizzi, as he is allowing just 0.75 per 9 innings. This season, he has struckout 19.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per game average of 3.83. Throughout the season, Odorizzi has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.55 per contest.

David Peterson gets the start for the Mets, with an overall record of 5-2. So far, Peterson has put together an ERA of 3.54. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.31 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.223 against Peterson. Peterson is allowing home runs at a rate of 1.11 per 9 innings. Per game, David Peterson is averaging 5.06, on a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. Command has been a problem for Peterson, as he is giving up 4.28 walks per outing.

Atlanta vs New York History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets will be playing their 10th game of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 5-4. The over-under record in this series sits at 6-3. The average run total in these games is 7.68 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.22 runs. Last season, Atlanta picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 7-11, with the average run total being 7.68 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.47 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • NY Mets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s NL East matchup between Atlanta and New York, the Mets are the slight favorite on the moneyline. However, look for the Braves to come out on top as Jake Odorizzi makes his debut for the team. The veteran right-hander is coming off one his better starts of the season, striking out 8 batters and giving up 0 runs vs Seattle.

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