Brewers vs. Braves Odds & Pick

by | Last updated May 8, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, May 8th, 01:35 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Money Line: Brewers -105 / Braves -115 (BAS)
Total Line: 8


Milwaukee: Aaron Ashby (0-2, 2.33)
Atlanta: Charlie Morton (1-3, 6.85)

Brewers Projected Lineup

C Omar Narváez
CF Lorenzo Cain
1B Rowdy Tellez
RF Hunter Renfroe
3B Luis Urías
LF Christian Yelich
LF Andrew McCutchen
2B Kolten Wong
SS Willy Adames

Braves Projected Lineup

CF Adam Duvall
RF Travis Demeritte
2B Ozzie Albies
C Travis d’Arnaud
SS Dansby Swanson
3B Austin Riley
LF Marcell Ozuna
RF Ronald Acuña Jr.
1B Matt Olson


Milwaukee Brewers: 19-9-0 SU / OU 11-14-3 / Run Line W/L 15-13-0
Atlanta Braves: 13-16-0 SU / OU 15-13-1 / Run Line W/L 13-16-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, May 8th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Brewers suffered a 1 run loss to the Braves by a score of 3-2. Despite the loss, Milwaukee’s pitching staff gave up only 3 runs on 8 hits. On offense, the Brewers finished with 7 hits. Together Brewers and Braves stayed below the OU line set at 7.0 runs. So far, Milwaukee has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 11-14-3.

The Brewers are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential 24. Offensively, the team has put up 42 runs in their last 5 games. Milwaukee’s season averasge comes in at 4.86 (2nd. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 10 series played, going 6-2-2.

The Braves are coming off a tight 3-2 win over the Brewers. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Brewers to 2 runs and 7 hits. At the plate, the Braves only come through for 3 runs on 8 hits. Atlanta picked up the win while being favored at -110.0. So far, the team has won 46.0% of their games in which they were favored. On the season Atlanta has an above .500 OU record at (15-13-1).

The Braves come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Even though Atlanta has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (1). Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.90. Atlanta has a below .500 series record of just 1-4-4.

Pitching Matchup

For the Brewers, Aaron Ashby gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 0-2. Currently, Ashby has a strong ERA of just 2.33 while pitching an average of 3.18 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.211 against him. Not only does Ashby have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has yet to give up a home run. Up to this point, Ashby’s has a strikeout percentage of 26.0% and a per 9 average of 3.6. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 6.05 walks per outing.

For the Braves, Charlie Morton gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-3. Leading up to the game, Morton is hoping to bring down an ERA of 6.85. So far, he is averaging 4.64 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.287 against Morton. In terms of power, the right-hander is giving up 1 homer per 9 innings pitched. Heading into today’s action, Charlie Morton is averaging 3.6 K’s per 9 innings. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 5.32 free passes per outing.

Milwaukee vs Atlanta History

So far, the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers have met up 2 times. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Milwaukee and Atlanta each have 1 win. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 7.8 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
  • Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Braves are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Prediction

In this matchup, I recommend taking the Braves to pick up the win and take the series. Look for the Brewers to struggle against Charlie Morton while Atlanta gets to Aaron Ashby early.

Free Pick:

Braves ML

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