Brewers vs. Giants Prediction: Snell vs. Rea Showdown 9/11/24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Wednesday, September 11th, 9:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Brewers +125/Giants -147 (Be sure you’re betting dime lines!)
Total Line: 7
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Brewers on Wednesday, September 11th at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
MIL | +125 | +1.5 | O 7 (-115) |
SF | -147 | -1.5 | U 7 (-106) |
Wednesday’s matchup between the Brewers and Giants has a first pitch set for 9:45 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco. The Giants are favored on the money line (-147), while the money line odds for a Brewers win are sitting at +125. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Blake Snell for the Giants. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central, while the Giants are 4th in the NL West. BSWI is carrying this game on TV.
Brewers vs. Giants Projected Lineup
Player | Batting Order | Position |
---|---|---|
Jackson Chourio | 1 | LF |
Blake Perkins | 2 | CF |
William Contreras | 3 | C |
Willy Adames | 4 | SS |
Gary Sánchez | 5 | DH |
Rhys Hoskins | 6 | 1B |
Joey Ortiz | 7 | 3B |
Andruw Monasterio | 8 | 2B |
Sal Frelick | 9 | RF |
Colin Rea | – | SP |
Player | Batting Order | Position |
---|---|---|
Mike Yastrzemski | 1 | RF |
Heliot Ramos | 2 | LF |
Michael Conforto | 3 | DH |
Matt Chapman | 4 | 3B |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | 5 | 1B |
Tyler Fitzgerald | 6 | SS |
Patrick Bailey | 7 | C |
Grant McCray | 8 | CF |
Brett Wisely | 9 | 2B |
Blake Snell | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 83-61 SU / OU 74-61 / Runline 73-71
San Francisco Giants: 71-74 SU / OU 73-66 / Runline 72-73
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Giants series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -115 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Brewers offense only had one more hit than the Giants and struck out six times, but still picked up the win.
San Francisco had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Devin Williams closed things out for the Brewers. Aaron Civale got the win for Milwaukee, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Garrett Mitchell, William Contreras, and Willy Adames each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense. Mike Yastrzemski did the most damage for the Giants, going 1/3 with a home run.
Brewers Records & Recent Play
Milwaukee is 83-61 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cubs by 8.5 games for the top spot in the division. The Brewers are 30-19 in divisional games this year. Milwaukee got off to a hot start this season, and they have been able to maintain their lead in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 42-29 this season, and they are 41-32 on the road. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite this season, going 49-36, and they are 34-25 as the underdog. The Brewers’ overall series record is 25-17-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 25-17-4.
When betting the run line in Milwaukee Brewers games, it’s best to take them on the road, where they have a run line record of 39-34. Their average run margin on the road is 1.2 runs per game, compared to 0.7 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 40-19 against the run line, compared to 33-52 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game, while in losing games, it’s -2.7 runs per game.
The Brewers have played to the over in 74 of their 135 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. They have played to the over in just 2 of the 3 games this season with an over/under line of 7 runs, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. The under has hit in their last 5 games.
Giants Records & Recent Play
San Francisco is 71-74 overall, and they are 15 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional games. The Giants dropped the series opener vs. the Brewers and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants are 40-33 this year compared to a 31-41 mark on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 44-32 and 27-42 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-20-4, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Giants are 32-41 against the run line at home this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.1 runs per game. They are 40-32 against the run line on the road, with an average scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 41-28 against the run line, while they are 31-45 as the favorite.
The San Francisco Giants are playing at home against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Giants games this season is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 73-66, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 6-7-2. The majority of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, with 127 out of 146 games (87.6%) having higher lines.
Pitching Matchup
Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 12-4 with an ERA of 3.72. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. Looking back at his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Rea has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Blake Snell gets the start for the Giants today and will face the Brewers at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.62. Snell has made one complete game shutout this year and has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 12 strikeouts and 4.03 walks. Snell’s last outing came on September 5th, where he finished with a no-decision after going just one inning and giving up one earned run on two hits. He has not taken a loss or a win in any of his last four outings.
Brewers vs. Giants Offense Outlook
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Brewers, going 6/16 in his last five games with three RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .281 with 21 home runs. Willy Adames has a team-high 30 homers and is 3rd in the MLB with 102 RBIs. However, he has just one home run in his last five games and is batting only .211 in that stretch.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team and have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee’s offense is also among the league leaders in walks and have a collective isolated power figure of .156.
San Francisco’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in the league in runs scored (4.3 per game). This is the same number of runs they are averaging on the road and just a tick below their home average of 4.2 runs per game. The Giants are also near the middle of the pack in terms of batting average and on-base percentage.
Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 23 homers and Ramos right behind him at 20. Chapman is also 1st on the team with 72 RBIs and comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Chapman has gone 8/25 with two homers. Ramos is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 4/20 in his last seven games.
Free Brewers vs. Giants MLB Pick
For Wednesday’s Brewers vs Giants matchup, I’m hammering the Giants. Colin Rea was a good story for the Brewers for most of the season, but he has really fallen off of late. In his last outing, he did settle down but gave up a few early runs. And with Blake Snell on the mound, the Giants won’t need a lot from their bats. My pick is San Francisco to cover the run line.
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