Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Predictions 6/14/22

by | Last updated Jun 14, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets
Date: Tuesday, June 14th, 07:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Money Line: Brewers +126 / Mets -150
Total Line: 7.5


Milwaukee: Adrian Houser (3-6, 3.92)
New York: Chris Bassitt (4-4, 4.35)

Brewers Projected Lineup

Tyrone Taylor CF
Victor Caratini C
Luis Urías 2B
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Hunter Renfroe RF
Mark Mathias 2B
Andrew McCutchen LF
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS
Adrian Houser P

Mets Projected Lineup

Eduardo Escobar 3B
J.D. Davis 3B
Jeff McNeil 2B
Mark Canha LF
Starling Marte RF
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Chris Bassitt P


Milwaukee Brewers: 34-28-0 SU / OU 30-29-3 / Run Line W/L 25-37-0
New York Mets: 40-22-0 SU / OU 32-26-4 / Run Line W/L 37-25-0

The New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday, June 14th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Milwaukee will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Nationals by the score of 4-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Nationals to 1 run on 8 hits. The Brewers benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 9 hits. In the matchup, Milwaukee was favored at -130.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 55 of their games, winning at a rate of 55%. Together, the Brewers and Nationals stayed below the over-under line set at 9.5 runs. However, for the season, Milwaukee still has an overall over-under record of 30-29-3.

Over the Brewers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -20. Milwaukee’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.6 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 20 series played, going 10-7-3.

In their last game, New York took down the Angels by a score of 4-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 6 hits. With their 11 hits, the Mets could only muster 4 runs. Despite being the underdogs, getting 110.0 on the moneyline, the Mets still picked up the win. In their 15 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 53.0%. With this result, the Mets and Angels combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, New York games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 32-26-4.

In their last 5 contests, the Mets have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -16. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.8 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 14-3-2.

Pitching Matchup

Adrian Houser gets the start for the Brewers, with an overall record of 3-6. To date, Houser has an ERA of 3.92 while lasting an average of 5.19 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.249. So far, Houser has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.95 home runs per 9 innings. Houser has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 18.0% and a per game average of 4.18. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Houser averages 3.77 free passes per outing.

The New York Mets will send Chris Bassitt to the mound with an overall record of 4-4. Bassitt gets the start with an ERA of 4.35. On average, he has lasted 5.67 innings per appearance. Bassitt’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.237. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Bassitt, averaging 1.45 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Chris Bassitt is averaging 6.17, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. Commmand has been a problem for Bassitt, as he is giving up 3.03 walks per outing.

Milwaukee vs New York History

Today’s game between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets is their first matchup of the year. Last season, Milwaukee won 4 games compared to 2 for New York. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-4-1, with the average scoring differential sitting at 2.83 runs. Last year, the two teams combined to average 6.5 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Prediction

On Tuesday night, the Milwaukee Brewers travel to take on the New York Mets in National League action. Milwaukee will be looking to add another win after finally breaking out of an 8 game losing streak. Both Adrian Houser and Chris Bassitt are coming off tough outings, as both Milwaukee and New York lost these games. For tonight’s best bet, I like the Brewers to pull off the upset.

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