Cardinals vs. Red Sox Pick

by | Jun 17, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, June 17th, 07:10 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Cardinals -110 / Red Sox -110 (BetNow - 100% bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (5-4, 2.84)

Boston: Michael Wacha (4-1, 2.33)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Dylan Carlson RF
Yadier Molina C
Tyler O’Neill LF
Brendan Donovan 1B
Nolan Arenado 3B
Harrison Bader CF
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Tommy Edman SS
Nolan Gorman 2B
Adam Wainwright P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Franchy Cordero 1B
Christian Vázquez C
Alex Verdugo LF
Jackie Bradley Jr. RF
Trevor Story 2B
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Jarren Duran CF
Michael Wacha P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

St. Louis Cardinals: 37-28-0 SU / OU 33-29-3 / Run Line W/L 36-29-0
Boston Red Sox: 34-29-0 SU / OU 25-34-5 / Run Line W/L 35-29-0

The Boston Red Sox host the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday, June 17th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Boston as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

St. Louis heads into today’s action, looking to rebound from a 6-4 loss to the Pirates. St. Louis’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 6 hits, leading to 6 runs. The Cardinals ended the game with just 4 runs on 9 hits. Cardinals suffered the loss, despite being favored at -200.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 40 of their games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. With the over-under line set at 8.5 runs, the Cardinals and Pirates combined to go over this total. This result is part of a larger trend, as St. Louis has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (33-29-3).

The Cardinals are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +9. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 5.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.78. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 20 series played, going 11-4-5.

The Red Sox are coming off a tight loss to the Athletics, dropping the game 4-3. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Athletics to 4 runs and 8 hits. The Red Sox offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 11 hits. Leading into the game, Boston was the betting favorite at -185.0. So far, the team has won 59.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Red Sox and Athletics’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.5 runs. Now, Boston had an over-under record of 25-34-5.

Across their last 5 contests, the Red Sox are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +14 (last 5). Boston has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.4 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.73. On the season, Boston has won more than half of their series, going 9-8-3.

Pitching Matchup

The St. Louis Cardinals will send Adam Wainwright to the mound with an overall record of 5-4. Currently, Wainwright has an ERA of just 2.84 while pitching an average of 6.08 innings per outing. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a BA of 0.245. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Wainwright, as he is allowing just 0.62 per 9 innings. Wainwright has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 18.0% and a per-game average of 4.58. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Wainwright is averaging 2.84 free passes per outing.

The Boston Red Sox will send Michael Wacha to the mound with an overall record of 4-1. Heading into the game, Wacha has appeared in 10 contests, posting an ERA of just 2.33. On average, he pitches 5.4 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.195. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.83 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Wacha is averaging just 3.6 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 17.0% of the batters he has faced. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.67 walks per contest.

St. Louis vs Boston History

Today’s game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Boston Red Sox is their first matchup of the year. The two teams did not meat in 2021 as well.

More Picks: Get today’s Minnesota at Arizona odds & picks >>>

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games
  • St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
  • Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Friday night’s interleague matchup between St. Louis and Boston comes in as a pick’em on the moneyline. However, I give the slight edge to the Cardinals, as the team’s offense is 8th in batting average vs right-handed pitching and 11th in home runs. I recommend taking the Cardinals on the moneyline.

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