Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 4/7/18

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Where: Miller Field
When: April 7, 2018 4PM EST
Moneyline: CUBS -143 / MIL +133
Over/Under: 8.5
By expert handicapper Rich Crew

The Cubs and the Brew Crew will take to the field this afternoon in the third game of the four-game set at Miller Park. The oddsmaker has set visiting Chicago as a -149 favorite over Milwaukee with an O/U line od 8.5 runs.

In the most recent match, the lead went back and forth with the Cubs assuming an early 2-0 lead before the Brewers got to starter Kyle Hendricks for four runs in the fifth. Chicago came back with two more in the sixth to tie it up until Orlando Arcia knocked in the winning run in the bottom of the ninth for the 5-4 Milwaukee win.

The win by the Brewers ended a mini two-game losing streak and the confidence-boosting five runs scored closed out a two-game scoreless run. The victory brought their home record this season to 2-3. The Cubs loss was their fourth on the season and third in the last four matches.

Pitching Match-Up

Cubs: The Cubs send out Yu Darvish who will be looking to rebound from a dismal outing in his opener where he allowed five runs in just 4 1/3 innings in Miami. Dating back to last season, the right-hander has been on an awful run in three starts allowing 13 runs over 7.2 innings! He has the one-lifetime start against Milwaukee, and that came last season at Miller Field where he went five innings allowing three runs giving up six hits and walking three.

Brewers: Zach Davies will look to rebound in his second start of the season. Davies was tagged with six earned runs in his opener versus the Cardinals giving up eight hits and one HR, but he didn’t walk a batter striking out six. He has had a ton of recent experience against the Cubs starting five games against them last season. He got off to a rocky start in his first outing against them charged with five runs over five innings but was stellar in his next four recording a QS in all.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago’s last seven games when playing Milwaukee
  • Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last eight games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Chicago’s last nine games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 18 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Milwaukee’s last 18 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee’s last nine games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Public Money

The early wagering action by the public favors the Cubs who are getting 66% of the money line bets. The total is not as decisive with 54% of the pack getting down on the OVER. See who the public cappers in the forum are on Daily MLB Picks.

Cubs at Brewers Prediction 4/7/2018

The Cubs Don’t appear to have hit their stride yet offensively ranking in the bottom five of the NL in many team hitting statistics. Chicago starter Yu Darvish’s form is questionable getting lit up in his last three trips to the mound, and Milwaukee starter Zach Davies pitched well enough to win in his last four versus the Cubs. The value in on the host Milwaukee in today’s match-up.

Crew’s Pick: Take the Brewers +129 at 5Dimes to get the best line on this game and guys if you don’t have an account here, now is the time to save money all season long with this betting shop’s overnight nickel lines and dime line betting on game day!