Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

by | Last updated Sep 27, 2023 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, September 27th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
Money Line: Cubs +129/Braves -155 (Make sure you’re betting into dimelines! Don’t waste $!)
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Cubs on Wednesday, September 27th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHC +129 +1.5 O 10 (-115)
ATL -155 -1.5 U 10 (-106)

Cubs vs. Braves Projected Lineup


Batting Order Position
Mike Tauchman 1 CF
Nico Hoerner 2 2B
Ian Happ 3 LF
Cody Bellinger 4 1B
Dansby Swanson 5 SS
Seiya Suzuki 6 RF
Christopher Morel 7 DH
Yan Gomes 8 C
Miles Mastrobuoni 9 3B
Jameson Taillon SP


Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Ozzie Albies 2 2B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Matt Olson 4 1B
Marcell Ozuna 5 DH
Eddie Rosario 6 LF
Sean Murphy 7 C
Orlando Arcia 8 SS
Michael Harris II 9 CF
Darius Vines SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 82-75 SU / OU 77-74 / Runline 80-77
Atlanta Braves: 101-56 SU / OU 89-64 / Runline 82-75

The Cubs head into today’s game vs. the Braves with an overall record of 82-75. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 6.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 37-39 and 45-36, respectively. Chicago’s overall series record sits at 26-18-6.


  • The Cubs have covered the runline in 51.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
  • The Cubs have been favored in 58.6% of their games and have runline records of 42-39 and 38-38 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 51% of the Cubs’ 157 games at 77-74.

The Braves take on the Cubs in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 101-56. So far, they are 52-29 on the road and 49-27 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 35-12-4.


  • The Braves have covered the runline in 52.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.5
  • The Braves have been favored in 91.1% of their games and have runline records of 38-38 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Braves’ 157 games at 89-64.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jameson Taillon 28 28 144 8-10 5.05 1.31 26

Starter Jameson Taillon comes in with an overall record of 8-10 for the Cubs. Having made 28 appearances, his ERA is 5.05 and he has a K/9 figure of 8.36. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.66 and an OBP of .307.

Jameson Taillon earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 6-0 win over the Rockies. He allowed zero runs and four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Darius Vines 4 1 14 1-0 4.39 1.12 1

Atlanta starter Darius Vines enters with an overall record of 1-0 and ERA of 4.39. His ERA on the road is 5.55 and 3.75 when pitching at home. Vines’ season-long WHIP comes in at 1.12 with a batting average allowed of .212. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .404 against him.

In his last appearance against the Nationals, Darius Vines gave up three runs on three hits while pitching 3 1/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Vines helped the Braves secure a 9-6 victory.

Cubs vs. Braves Offense Outlook

This season, Chicago has been scoring an average of 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 6th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 189 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .256 ranks 7th in the league. On the road, the Cubs are 9th in batting average, compared to 10th at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters vs. Righties

Nico Hoerner .278 8 .379 .324
Dansby Swanson .250 15 .417 .327
Ian Happ .258 14 .441 .361
Seiya Suzuki .277 17 .492 .357
Cody Bellinger .291 16 .500 .351

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Seiya Suzuki .517 8 5 1 .887
Miles Mastrobuoni .417 6 4 0 .417
Nico Hoerner .312 3 2 0 .312
Dansby Swanson .229 3 3 0 .291
Yan Gomes .417 4 0 0 .667

As of now, the Braves are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 301 home runs (1st). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 5.8 runs per game with a collective batting average of .275. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .474 compared to .503 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

Ronald Acuña Jr. .335 .414 .598 103 41 68
Matt Olson .281 .389 .604 134 53 1
Austin Riley .280 .344 .515 96 37 3

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Austin Riley .333 3 5 1 .778
Ronald Acuña Jr. .333 4 4 2 .917
Kevin Pillar .312 3 3 2 .875
Matt Olson .317 5 4 0 .367
Forrest Wall .250 1 2 1 1.000

Free MLB Pick

Take the Cubs +135

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