Cleveland Guardians at Atlanta Braves Picks for 4/27/24

by | Last updated Apr 27, 2024 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, April 27th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Guardians +154/Braves -187
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Guardians on Saturday, April 27th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CLE +154 +1.5 O 9 (-103)
ATL -187 -1.5 U 9 (-119)

At 7:20 PM from Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an interleague matchup between the Guardians and Braves. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Guardians have an overall record of 18-8, while the Braves are 18-6.

Charlie Morton will start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Tanner Bibee for the Guardians. Atlanta is at -187 on the money line compared to the Guardians at +154. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

Guardians vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Andrés Giménez 2 2B
José Ramírez 3 3B
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Will Brennan 5 DH
Tyler Freeman 6 CF
Estevan Florial 7 RF
Bo Naylor 8 C
Brayan Rocchio 9 SS
Tanner Bibee SP


Player Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Ozzie Albies 2 2B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Matt Olson 4 1B
Marcell Ozuna 5 DH
Michael Harris II 6 CF
Orlando Arcia 7 SS
Travis d’Arnaud 8 C
Jarred Kelenic 9 LF
Charlie Morton SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 18-8 SU / OU 15-9 / Runline 17-9
Atlanta Braves: 18-6 SU / OU 11-11 / Runline 13-11

Atlanta picked up a 6-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 4th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -261 on the money line.

Chris Sale started for the Braves and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Atlanta’s offense was led by Orlando Arcia and Ozzie Albies, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia, Marcell Ozuna, and Austin Riley each homered for the Braves’ offense.

Guardians Records & Recent Play

Cleveland is 18-8 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians dropped the first game of this series vs. the Braves but have still won seven of their last eight games overall. So far, they have gone 4-1 in divisional games this year.

The Guardians have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 10-4 this year. They have also been good at home, going 8-4. Cleveland has been really good in day games this year, going 9-3. As the underdog, the Guardians have lost just two straight, and they are 7-3 as the underdog overall. Cleveland’s overall series record is 7-1, and they have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 9-5 against the run line in road games this season. Their average run margin on the road is 2.6, and they have covered the run line in two straight games when they are the underdog. Overall, they are 17-9 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of 1.7 runs per game.

Oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 9 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Atlanta Braves. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-9. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and they have had just one game with an over/under line set at 9 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 9 runs just 3.8% of the time this season.

Braves Records & Recent Play

Atlanta’s overall record is 18-6 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Guardians. The Braves have won four straight games, and they took the final game of their series vs. the Marlins before starting this winning streak. Currently, they lead the NL East by 2.5 games over the Phillies.

So far, the Braves have been really good vs. other NL East teams, going 8-4 in the division. At home, the Braves are 10-3 this year and have also been strong on the road at 8-3. As the favorite, the Braves are 18-6, and they have not been the underdog yet this season. Atlanta’s overall series record is 6-1-1, and they have won four straight series.

The Braves are 13-11 against the run line this season, including a 6-7 mark at home. They have an average run margin of 2.0 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to 3.3 runs per game on the road. As the favorite, they are 13-11 against the run line.

The Braves have seen their last four games go under the total, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The Braves have gone under the total in 11 of their 22 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game. Their games have had an average total of 9 runs this season, and they have gone 2-3-1 in games with a total of 9 runs. Their games have had an average total of 9 runs this season, and they have gone 2-3-1 in games with a total of 9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

After getting the win in his last start, Tanner Bibee and the Guardians are on the road to take on the Braves. He has had a strong start to the season, as he has a win and a no-decision in his first two starts. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 8, giving up 2 earned runs.

Charlie Morton is getting the start for the Braves at home against the Guardians. Morton has been solid in his first two outings of the season, picking up a win in his last start vs. the Rangers. In that outing, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 4. He also has a no-decision and a win in his other two starts this year.

Guardians vs. Braves Offense Outlook

Jose Ramirez comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak, and over his last five games, he is 7/20 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, Ramirez is batting .259 with five homers and 23 RBIs. Ramirez’s 23 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. Josh Naylor and Steven Kwan have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Naylor having gone deep six times and Kwan batting .343 for the season.

As a team, the Guardians are 7th in the league at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 10/34 in his last 10 games with two homers and eight runs scored. For the season, he is batting .344 with a league-leading 31 RBIs and nine homers, which is 2nd in the league. Ozuna also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat for the Braves, going 15/44 in his last 10 games with one homer and six RBIs.

As a team, the Braves are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging six runs per contest. They are also the league’s best-hitting team, with a team batting average of .282. Not only are they hitting well, but they also have the league’s best on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Overall, they have the league’s best team ISO, and their collective BABIP is also the best in the league.

Free Guardians vs. Braves MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout sitting at -187, we are actually recommending that you take the over, as we have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Braves.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Charlie Morton finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tanner Bibee with seven. However, we have Morton going eight innings and Bibee going five.

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