Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated Oct 1, 2023 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Date: Sunday, October 1st, 3:10 ET
Location: Comerica Park
Money Line: Guardians +107/Tigers -128
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Guardians on Sunday, October 1st at Comerica Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CLE +107 +1.5 O 7.5 (-116)
DET -128 -1.5 U 7.5 (-105)

Guardians vs. Tigers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
José Ramírez 2 DH
Josh Naylor 3 1B
Ramón Laureano 4 RF
Andrés Giménez 5 2B
Tyler Freeman 6 3B
Brayan Rocchio 7 SS
Bo Naylor 8 C
Myles Straw 9 CF
Lucas Giolito SP

Batting Order Position
Parker Meadows 1 CF
Matt Vierling 2 3B
Spencer Torkelson 3 1B
Kerry Carpenter 4 RF
Miguel Cabrera 5 DH
Zach McKinstry 6 2B
Akil Baddoo 7 LF
Javier Báez 8 SS
Jake Rogers 9 C
Eduardo Rodriguez SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 76-85 SU / OU 69-88 / Runline 80-81
Detroit Tigers: 77-84 SU / OU 78-77 / Runline 87-74

For the season, the Guardians have put together a record of 76-85, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL Central standings, they are 3rd, trailing by 11 games. This year, they have gone 42-39 at home and 34-46 on the road with an overall series mark of 20-24-6.

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Guardians have been favored in 49.7% of their games and have runline records of 38-43 and 42-38 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 69-88.

The Tigers head into today’s game vs. the Guardians with an overall record of 77-84. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL Central. Currently, they are 10 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 41-40 and 36-44, respectively. Detroit’s overall series record sits at 20-26-6.

  • The Tigers have covered the runline in 54.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.5
  • The Tigers have been favored in 24.8% of their games and have runline records of 41-39 and 46-35 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 161 games, the over has hit in half of the Tigers’ games at 78-77.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Lucas Giolito 32 32 179 8-14 4.77 1.29 40

The Guardians will turn to starter Lucas Giolito who has an overall record of 8-14. Through 32 appearances his ERA stands at 4.77 with a K/9 figure of 10.04. So far, he has put together of FIP of 5.23 to go along with an OBP of .304.

In Lucas Giolito’s last game, he threw 3 1/3 innings for the Guardians. While allowing five runs on four hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Reds with a score of 11-7.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Eduardo Rodriguez 25 25 145 12-9 3.40 1.17 14

Today will be Eduardo Rodriguez’s 26th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 12-9. His current ERA stands at 3.40 and OBP allowed of .287. So far, he struckout 138 batters and has a WHIP of 1.17. On the road, his ERA is 4.00 compared to 4.37 at home.

The Tigers picked up a win the last time Eduardo Rodriguez took the mound, taking down the Athletics by a score of 2-0. In seven innings of work, he allowed five hits and zero earned runs while adding a W to his record.

Guardians vs. Tigers Offense Outlook

With 161 games under their belt, the Guardians are currently 24th in the league, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Cleveland’s home run ranking is 27th, with the team having hit 123 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .246 on the road and .244 at home, is .251.

Cleveland Guardians Top Bats

José Ramírez .282 .357 .476 80 24 28
Steven Kwan .270 .342 .372 54 5 21
Andrés Giménez .251 .314 .399 62 15 30

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bo Naylor .278 3 4 2 .944
Myles Straw .625 8 0 0 .709
Tyler Freeman .183 3 2 1 .333
Ramón Laureano .188 2 3 0 .250
Brayan Rocchio .287 4 2 0 .388

The Tigers have played 162 games this season and currently hold a 25th position in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 164 times, putting Detroit 22nd in the league. Their batting average stands at .236, including .224 on the road and .234 at home.

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Spencer Torkelson .235 20 .425 .322
Kerry Carpenter .289 18 .507 .359
Zach McKinstry .230 9 .358 .288
Matt Vierling .254 8 .377 .306
Riley Greene .292 11 .474 .356

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Parker Meadows .420 9 4 1 .650
Spencer Torkelson .263 5 3 2 .600
Miguel Cabrera .417 6 3 1 .854
Andy Ibáñez .417 7 4 0 .467
Matt Vierling .187 4 4 0 .400

Free MLB Pick

Lucas Giolito is coming off a game in which he gave up three home runs. Look for the Tigers to pick up another win over the Guardians. I’m taking Detroit on the moneyline.

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