Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Apr 20, 2023 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Thursday, April 20th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Rockies +182/Phillies -216 (Did you know that you can bet for cheaper?)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Rockies on Thursday, April 20th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+182 +1.5 O 9 (-117)
-216 -1.5 U 9 (-103)

Rockies vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jurickson Profar 1 LF
Kris Bryant 2 LF
Charlie Blackmon 3 RF
C.J. Cron 4 1B
Elias Díaz 5 C
Ryan McMahon 6 3B
Elehuris Montero 7 3B
Yonathan Daza 8 CF
Ezequiel Tovar 9 SS
Ryan Feltner RP

 

Batting Order Position
Bryson Stott 1 2B
Trea Turner 2 SS
Kyle Schwarber 3 LF
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
J.T. Realmuto 5 C
Brandon Marsh 6 CF
Alec Bohm 7 3B
Jake Cave 8 RF
Kody Clemens 9 3B
Matt Strahm SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Colorado Rockies: 5-14 SU / OU 10-9 / Runline 4-15
Philadelphia Phillies: 8-11 SU / OU 10-9 / Runline 8-11

If the Rockies are going to climb out of last place in the NL West, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Phillies. Heading into the game, the Rockies have lost eight straight games and stand with an overall record of 5-14. On the road, the Rockies are 2-7 and 3-7 at home. The team’s overall series record is 0-3.

 

  • The Rockies have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -2.7.
  • The Rockies have been favored in 31.6% of their games and have runline records of 1-9 and 3-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Rockies’ 19 games at 10-9.

The Phillies head into today’s game vs. the Rockies with an overall record of 8-11. This mark has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are six games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 5-8 and 3-3, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 1-3.

 

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in 42.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.7
  • The Phillies have been favored in 57.9% of their games and have runline records of 2-4 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Phillies’ 19 games at 10-9.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ryan Feltner 3 3 13 0-2 8.78 1.95 2

 

Starter Ryan Feltner comes in with an overall record of 0-2 for the Rockies. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 8.78 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.49 and an OBP of .400.

Ryan Feltner took the loss after allowing five runs on five hits in his previous outing against the Mariners. In the game, the Rockies fell 9-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Matt Strahm 4 3 12 1-1 2.13 .95 1

 

With an overall record of 1-1, the Phillies will give Matt Strahm the start. His ERA stands at 2.13 with a K/9 figure of 1.3 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.00 and an OBP of .240.

Matt Strahm will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Reds. In the Phillies’ 13-0 loss, Strahm gave up three runs in 2 2/3 innings of work.

Rockies vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

Offensively, the Rockies, come into the game ranked 25th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. In the home run category, Colorado is ranked 23rd, with 17 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .252. This mark includes hitting .208 on the road and .281 at home.

Colorado Rockies Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Kris Bryant .310 .380 .493 6 3 0
Ryan McMahon .246 .315 .477 9 3 1
Elias Díaz .345 .400 .545 10 2 0

 

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Kris Bryant .240 5 4 2 .560
Ryan McMahon .287 6 1 0 .427
Charlie Blackmon .133 2 1 0 .267
Elias Díaz .200 4 0 0 .300
Jurickson Profar .240 5 0 0 .290

 

Through 19 games the Phillies are 15th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Philadelphia is 20th having gone deep 18 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .284 including .265 on the road and .285 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Trea Turner .321 .375 .444 6 1 4
Brandon Marsh .368 .419 .737 11 3 1
Alec Bohm .324 .400 .493 16 3 1

 

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Trea Turner .333 8 7 1 .467
Brandon Marsh .317 9 5 1 .592
Alec Bohm .305 7 2 0 .333
J.T. Realmuto .289 8 3 1 .497
Bryson Stott .280 9 3 1 .460

 

Free MLB Pick

The Phillies have dominated this series, as of late, winning the past six games, including a sweep of the Rockies at Citizens Bank Park last season. While the sample size is from last season, it’s still a positive sign for Phillies backers.

Looking at the starting pitchers, lefty Matt Strahm appears to be the better option for the Phillies based on his performances this season. He has a 2.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, compared to Ryan Feltner of the Rockies with a 8.78 ERA and 1.95 WHIP and the road starts are atrocious, with Ryan getting tagged for ten runs in just over eight innings.

However, Strahm does have a concerning record against the Rockies lineup, having allowed ten hits in just 27 at-bats. It’s worth keeping this in mind when placing your bets.

On the offensive side of things, the Phillies have a clear statistical advantage over the Rockies. They rank 4th in the league in slugging percentage (.448), while the Rockies are 17th (.393). The Phillies also have a better on-base percentage (.340) and on-base plus slugging percentage (.788) than the Rockies, who are struggling to score runs, failing to exceed three runs in their last six games.
The margin of victory hasn’t been an issue for Philadelphia, with seven of their eight victories coming by two or more runs, making the runline a potential play.
To sum it up, the Phillies have a clear statistical advantage over the Rockies in several key areas, including their offense, starting pitching, and recent form. Take the Phillies -1.5 runs at -116. Did you know that we also offer free picks for all other sports?

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