Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners Runline Pick

by | Last updated Apr 16, 2023 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Sunday, April 16th, 4:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Col +248/Sea -304 (Did you know you can bet at cheaper odds at BAS Sportsbook?)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Rockies on Sunday, April 16th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+248 +1.5 O 8 (-108)
-304 -1.5 U 8 (-113)

Rockies vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jurickson Profar 1 LF
Kris Bryant 2 LF
Charlie Blackmon 3 RF
C.J. Cron 4 1B
Ryan McMahon 5 3B
Elias Díaz 6 C
Elehuris Montero 7 3B
Yonathan Daza 8 CF
Ezequiel Tovar 9 SS
Noah Davis SP

 

Batting Order Position
Julio Rodríguez 1 CF
Ty France 2 1B
Eugenio Suárez 3 3B
Cal Raleigh 4 C
Teoscar Hernández 5 RF
Jarred Kelenic 6 CF
AJ Pollock 7 RF
Kolten Wong 8 2B
J.P. Crawford 9 SS
Luis Castillo SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Colorado Rockies: 5-10 SU / OU 8-7 / Runline 3-12
Seattle Mariners: 7-8 SU / OU 8-7 / Runline 8-7

If the Rockies are going to climb out of last place in the NL West, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Mariners. Heading into the game, the Rockies have lost four straight games and stand with an overall record of 5-10. On the road, the Rockies are 2-6 and 3-4 at home. The team’s overall series record is 0-2.

 

  • The Rockies have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.7.
  • The Rockies have been favored in 26.7% of their games and have runline records of 1-6 and 2-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Rockies’ 15 games at 8-7.

On a record of 7-8, the Mariners are 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Rockies, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 3-3 while going 4-5 at home. Seattle’s overall series record is 1-3.

 

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Mariners have been favored in 73.3% of their games and have runline records of 5-4 and 3-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Mariners’ 15 games at 8-7.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Mitch Keller 3 3 17 1-0 3.57 1.36 3

 

Mitch Keller has an overall record of 1-0, and will get the start for the Pirates. With three appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.57, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.45 and an OBP of .320.

In his previous start, Mitch Keller gave the team a quality start, allowing two runs on six hits across six innings. Despite this, he did not factor into the decision in the Pirates’ 7-4 win over the Astros.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luis Castillo 3 3 17 1-0 1.02 .74 0

 

Starter Luis Castillo comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Mariners. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 1.02 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.13 and an OBP of .200.

Luis Castillo delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching six innings and allowing two runs. Despite his efforts, the Mariners fell to the Cubs by a score of 3-2.

Rockies vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.2 runs per game, Colorado is 21st in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 15 home runs, putting them 19th in the league. Their current batting average of .262 is 9th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 24th, compared to 1st when playing at home.

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Kris Bryant .312 1 .469 .358
C.J. Cron .323 3 .677 .437
Charlie Blackmon .296 1 .481 .384
Elias Díaz .269 0 .385 .327
Elehuris Montero .261 1 .435 .316

 

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Elias Díaz .567 8 3 1 .767
Jurickson Profar .217 4 2 1 .417
Ryan McMahon .147 3 1 1 .267
Ezequiel Tovar .150 3 2 0 .250
C.J. Cron .240 5 4 1 .360

 

The Mariners have played 15 games so far and are ranked 11th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 19th (15) and their overall batting average stands at .236. This includes a BA of .251 on the road and .222 at home.

Seattle Mariners Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ty France .339 .423 .500 11 1 1
Julio Rodríguez .254 .315 .448 9 2 4
Jarred Kelenic .356 .408 .733 7 4 2

 

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jarred Kelenic .483 8 6 4 1.400
Ty France .357 7 5 0 .463
Eugenio Suárez .140 3 2 2 .440
J.P. Crawford .400 5 6 0 .533
Julio Rodríguez .187 4 3 0 .333

 

Free MLB Pick

The Rockies have really struggled on the road as of late, losing their last six games in a row away from Coors Field and by 2 or more runs in each of those defeats. Their starter Noah Davis has control issues and walks a ton of hitters. This spells trouble for the Rockies, as Seattle is a patient team that will take pitches. I don’t foresee the Rock’s luck changing against Luis Castillo, who is flat nasty. I’m betting the run line at -1.5 -129. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, have you seen the incredible live wagering platform at Bovada Sportsbook? It’s the BEST!

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