Cubs vs White Sox Runline Pick

by | Last updated May 28, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Saturday, May 28th, 07:15 ET

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field


Money Line: Cubs +127 / White Sox -137 (BetOnline – Fastest Bitcoin payouts online!)

Total Line: 8.5


Chicago: Keegan Thompson (4-0, 1.54)
Chicago: Johnny Cueto (0-0, 0.0)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Alfonso Rivas 1B
Nico Hoerner SS
Frank Schwindel 1B
Seiya Suzuki RF
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Andrelton Simmons P
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Christopher Morel CF
Keegan Thompson P

White Sox Projected Lineup

Adam Engel CF
Jake Burger 3B
Yasmani Grandal C
AJ Pollock LF
Yoán Moncada 3B
Josh Harrison P
José Abreu 1B
Andrew Vaughn 2B
Tim Anderson SS
Johnny Cueto P


Chicago Cubs: 18-26-0 SU / OU 21-20-3 / Run Line W/L 23-21-0
Chicago White Sox: 22-22-0 SU / OU 18-24-2 / Run Line W/L 21-23-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Chicago Cubs on Saturday, May 28th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-160), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Cubs will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Cincinnati by the score of 20-5. In the loss, Chicago’s pitchers gave up 20 runs on 20 hits. The Cubs ended the game with 8 hits of their own, leading to 5 runs. Cubs suffered the loss, despite being favored at -115.0. Through 16 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 38.0%. With the OU line set at 9.0 runs, the Cubs and Cincinnati combined to go over this total. So far, Chicago has an above .500 OU record of (21-20-3).

The Cubs come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -5. Offensively, the team has put up 31 runs in their last 5 games. Chicago’s season average comes in at 4.36 (12th. Chicago’s overall series record is just 4-7-3.

The White Sox are coming off a 9 run loss to Red Sox. Dropping the game 16-7. On their way to giving up 16 runs, the White Sox staff allowed 19 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 10 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Chicago came into the game as the underdog, getting 113.0. In their 14 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 36.0%. In terms of the over-under, the White Sox and Red Sox combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 18-24-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the White Sox are above .500, going 3-2. Chicago has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at -13. Chicago is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 3.66. On the season, Chicago has won more than half of their series, going 7-5-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send Keegan Thompson to the mound with an overall record of 4-0. Through 10 appearances, Thompson has an ERA of just 1.54 while averaging 3.5 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.21. Home runs have also not been an issue for Thompson, as he’s giving up just 0.51 per 9. Up to this point, Thompson has a strikeout percentage of just 23.0% and a per game average of 3.1. Throughout the season, Thompson has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.57 per contest.

For the White Sox, starting pitcher Johnny Cueto has yet to factor into a decision. In his previous outings, Cueto is lasting an average of 6.0, putting together an ERA of just 0.0. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.19. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has yet to give up a home run. Up to this point, Cueto has a strikeout percentage of just 26.0% and a per game average of 6.0. Throughout the season, Cueto has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.0 per contest.

Chicago vs Chicago History

For the season, Chicago Cubs and Chicago White Sox will be playing their 2nd game of the season. Chicago holds the edge in the series at 2-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-1. The average run total in these games is 13.5 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.5 runs. Chicago won last year’s head-to-head series grabbing 5 wins to 1. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-2. Last year, the Cubs and White Sox averaged 13.5 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 5.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Cubs are 28-64 in their last 92 games as an underdog.
  • Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
  • White Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Heading into game 1 of this cross-town series between the Cubs and White Sox, I like Johnny Cueto and the White Sox to pick up the win. In his 2 starts, Cueto has been outstanding, including shutting down the Yankees across 6 innings. I recommend taking the White Sox on the runline.

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