Diamondbacks vs. Phillies: Game 7 NLCS Betting Preview & Expert Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, October 24th, 8:07 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: TBS
Money Line: Diamondbacks +145/Phillies -174
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, October 24th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Ketel Marte	1	2B
Corbin Carroll	2	RF
Tommy Pham	3	DH
Christian Walker	4	1B
Gabriel Moreno	5	C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6	LF
Alek Thomas	7	CF
Evan Longoria	8	3B
Geraldo Perdomo	9	SS
Brandon Pfaadt	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	DH
Trea Turner	2	SS
Bryce Harper	3	1B
Alec Bohm	4	3B
Bryson Stott	5	2B
J.T. Realmuto	6	C
Nick Castellanos	7	RF
Brandon Marsh	8	LF
Johan Rojas	9	CF
Ranger Suárez	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 76-89 / Runline 96-77
Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 80-83 / Runline 80-94

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 32-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

• The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 55.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.0
• The Diamondbacks have been favored in 42.8% of their games and have runline records of 47-38 and 49-39 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 76-89.

With an overall record of 90-72, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 14 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 41-40 while going 49-32 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 31-20-4.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 46.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
• The Phillies have been favored in 68.4% of their games and have runline records of 40-48 and 40-46 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 80-83.

Pitching Matchup




Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt enters with an overall record of 3-9 and ERA of 5.72. His ERA on the road is 6.21 and 6.65 when pitching at home. Pfaadt’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.41 with a batting average allowed of .279. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .528 against him.

Brandon Pfaadt is coming off an outing against the Phillies in which he gave up zero runs and two hits across 5 2/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Diamondbacks won by a score of 2-1.




Starter Ranger Suárez comes in with an overall record of 4-6 for the Phillies. Having made 25 appearances, his ERA is 4.18 and he has a K/9 figure of 8.57. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.90 and an OBP of .325.

In his last appearance, Ranger Suárez lasted 5 1/3 innings in the Phillies’ 2-1 loss to the Diamondbacks. Individually, Suárez finished with a no-decision while giving up zero runs on three hits.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

Currently, Arizona is ranked 14th in the league for runs scored, with an average of 4.6 runs per game. They have hit a total of 166 home runs, which puts them 20th in baseball. The team’s current batting average of .250 is ranked 10th in the league. Their batting average is 18th on the road and 8th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Bats




Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games




With a total of 220 home runs hit so far this season, the Phillies are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (7th). This has translated to an average of 4.9 runs per game and a collective batting average of .256. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .406 compared to .453 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Righties




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

In what has been an excellent series, it fittingly comes down to game 7. Coming into the game, the oddsmakers have the Phillies as the favorite. Look for both teams to be willing to go to their bullpen early if their starters get into trouble. In the end, I see the Phillies’ experience coming through as they move on to the World Series.