Diamondbacks vs. Reds Moneyline Winner 6/15/22

by | Jun 15, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday, June 15th, 03:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Money Line: Reds +108 / Diamondbacks -130 (Bovada)
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Cincinnati: Luis Castillo (2-4, 3.23)
Arizona: Zac Gallen (4-2, 2.95)

Reds Projected Lineup

Mike Moustakas 3B
Albert Almora Jr. RF
Kyle Farmer SS
Nick Senzel CF
Brandon Drury 3B
Aramis Garcia C
Tommy Pham LF
Joey Votto 1B
Jonathan India 2B
Luis Castillo P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Alek Thomas CF
Carson Kelly C
David Peralta LF
Pavin Smith RF
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Daulton Varsho C
Zac Gallen P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Cincinnati Reds: 23-39-0 SU / OU 33-28-1 / Run Line W/L 29-33-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 29-35-0 SU / OU 27-36-1 / Run Line W/L 36-28-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, June 15th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Arizona as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

Cincinnati looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Diamondbacks by the score of 5-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Diamondbacks to 3 runs on 5 hits. The Reds lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 13 hits, leading to 5 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 100.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Reds and Diamondbacks stayed below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. Cincinnati games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 33-28-1.

The Reds are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +1. Cincinnati’s offense heads into action averaging 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.40. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 5-10-5.

The Diamondbacks will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 5-3 to the Reds. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 13 hits, leading to 5 runs. The Diamondbacks’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 5 hits. Arizona dropped the game despite being favored at -120.0. So far, the team has won 50.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Diamondbacks and Reds’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Arizona had an over-under record of 27-36-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Diamondbacks have just 1 win, going 1-4. Even though Arizona has notched just 1 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+3). In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 5.0, similar to their season-long average of 4.02. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 7-9-4.

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Pitching Matchup

Cincinnati will roll with Luis Castillo (2-4) as their starter. Through 7 appearances, Castillo has an ERA of just 3.23 while averaging 5.57 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.211 against him. Not only does Castillo have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.69 HR/9. Castillo is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 5.29 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.0 walks per contest.

Arizona will roll with Zac Gallen (4-2) as their starter. Currently, Gallen has a strong ERA of just 2.95 while pitching an average of 5.27 innings per outing. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.212 against the right-hander. Per 9 innings pitched, Gallen is giving up 0.93 home runs. Gallen’s current strikeout average is 5.0 per game. This includes a K rate of 23.0%. Gallen has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.48 per contest.

Cincinnati vs Arizona History

Today’s matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks will be their 7th meeting of the season. So far, Cincinnati is leading the season series, 4-2. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-4, with the average run total sitting at 12.67 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.0 runs. Arizona won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 5 wins to 1. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 5-1, with the average run total being 12.67 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.33 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 8 games at home
  • Arizona is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Cincinnati

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between Cincinnati and Arizona, the Diamondbacks are looking for another quality outing from Zac Gallen. With their best pitcher on the mound, Arizona is the betting favorite. However, Luis Castillo has pitched better than his 2-4 record suggests. I like the Reds to pull out another win vs the Diamondbacks.

Free MLB Pick: Reds Moneyline

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