Twins vs. Mariners Betting Preditions 6/15/22

by | Jun 15, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Wednesday, June 15th, 04:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: YouTube
Money Line: Twins -120 / Mariners +100 (Everygame)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Sonny Gray (3-1, 2.41)
Seattle: Marco Gonzales (3-6, 3.63)

Twins Projected Lineup

Max Kepler RF
Gilberto Celestino CF
Gio Urshela 3B
Jose Miranda 1B
Ryan Jeffers C
Carlos Correa SS
Gary Sánchez C
Byron Buxton CF
Jorge Polanco 2B
Sonny Gray P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Abraham Toro 3B
Taylor Trammell CF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Adam Frazier 2B
Cal Raleigh C
Julio Rodriguez CF
J.P. Crawford SS
Jesse Winker LF
Ty France 1B
Marco Gonzales P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 36-28-0 SU / OU 30-30-4 / Run Line W/L 29-35-0
Seattle Mariners: 28-34-0 SU / OU 31-30-1 / Run Line W/L 31-31-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, June 15th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Minnesota as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Twins come into this matchup having suffered a 5 run loss to the Mariners (5-0). In the loss, Minnesota’s pitchers gave up 5 runs on 6 hits. With their 4 hits, the Twins could only muster 0 runs. Minnesota’s loss came as the underdog, getting 108.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.0 runs. Minnesota once again has a .500 over-under betting record 30-30-4.

In the Twins’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -4. Minnesota comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.6 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.39. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 20 series played, going 10-5-5.

The Seattle Mariners will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Twins by 5 runs (5-0). For the game, the pitching staff held the Twins to 0 runs on 4 hits. At the plate, the Mariners scored 5 times on 6 hits. Seattle picked up the win while being favored at -118.0. So far, the team has won 52.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Twins combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. Even still, Seattle games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 31-30-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Mariners have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Even though Seattle has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+2). In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 3.4, similar to their season-long average of 4.08. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 8-10-2.

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Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send Sonny Gray to the mound with an overall record of 3-1. Through 7 appearances, Gray has an ERA of just 2.41 while averaging 4.74 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.185 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.81 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Gray has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 5.57 K’s per game on a K rate 29%. Throughout the season, Gray has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.67 per contest.

Seattle will roll with Marco Gonzales (3-6) as their starter. Gonzales gets the start with an ERA of 3.63. On average, he has lasted 5.17 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.254. Home runs have been an issue for Gonzales, as he is allowing an average of 1.74 per 9 innings pitched. Gonzales is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.17 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 14%. Gonzales comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.48 free passes per outing.

Minnesota vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners will be their 7th meeting of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Minnesota and Seattle each have 3 wins. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-5. The average run total in these games is 9.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Seattle picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 9.83 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.5 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games when playing Seattle
  • Minnesota is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle’s last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s American League matchup between Minnesota and Seattle, the Twins are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Through 7 outings, Sonny Gray has been excellent, posting a WHIP of just .98. Given that he is facing off against a Mariners offense ranked 23rd in runs per game, I like the Twins to pull out the win.

Free MLB Pick: Twins Moneyline

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