Dodgers vs. Padres: MLB Predictions and Picks for April 14th

by | Last updated Apr 14, 2024 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Sunday, April 14th, 7:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
Money Line: Padres +136/Dodgers -162
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Padres on Sunday, April 14th at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD +136 +1.5 O 8.5 (-124)
LAD -162 -1.5 U 8.5 (101)

At 7:10 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and features a Dodgers club that is 11-6 vs. a Padres team that is 8-9. James Paxton is starting for the Dodgers, and he is facing off against Yu Darvish for the Padres.

Los Angeles comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -162, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by ESPN.

Padres vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Xander Bogaerts 1 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Jake Cronenworth 3 1B
Manny Machado 4 DH
Ha-Seong Kim 5 SS
Jurickson Profar 6 LF
Eguy Rosario 7 3B
José Azocar 8 CF
Kyle Higashioka 9 C
Yu Darvish SP

Player Batting Order Position
Mookie Betts 1 SS
Shohei Ohtani 2 DH
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Will Smith 4 C
Max Muncy 5 3B
Teoscar Hernández 6 RF
James Outman 7 CF
Chris Taylor 8 LF
Gavin Lux 9 2B
James Paxton SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 8-9 SU / OU 8-8 / Runline 8-9
Los Angeles Dodgers: 11-6 SU / OU 11-6 / Runline 8-9

Los Angeles picked up a 5-2 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a three-run 6th inning and added two more in the 7th, while the Padres scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -212 on the money line.

Gavin Stone got the win for the Dodgers, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Padres, Tom Cosgrove took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

Mookie Betts scored two runs for the Dodgers while going 3/5 with two stolen bases. Enrique Hernandez also had a two-hit game and scored a run for LA’s offense.

Padres Records & Recent Play

As the Padres are on the road today vs. the Dodgers, they are looking to get above .500, as they currently hold an 8-9 record. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place, which is where they also are in their overall division standings.

San Diego is still looking to win their first series, as they are 1-3-1 so far. When playing at home, they have gone 5-6, and they are just above .500 on the road, at 3-3.

San Diego has been a solid run line play on the road this season, going 5-1. The Padres have an average run margin of +0.7 on the road, compared to -0.1 at home. They are 3-8 against the run line at home this season. San Diego has an overall run line record of 8-9, with an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game. They are 3-7 against the run line as the favorite and 5-2 as the underdog.

The Padres have played 16 games this season, and their over/under record is 8-8. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 10.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-3. So far, none of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 8.5 runs, and 64.7% of their games have had lower lines.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 11-6, the Dodgers lead the NL West heading into today’s game vs. the Padres. The Dodgers hold a three-game lead over the Padres, who are in 3rd place in the division. So far, the Dodgers have been good at home, going 7-3, and above .500 on the road at 4-3.

Looking at Los Angeles’ series record, they have gone 4-1 and are coming off winning their series vs. the Padres. The Dodgers picked up the series win, taking the final game after dropping the opener. In night games, the Dodgers are 7-2 this season.

The Dodgers have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 8-9 overall. They have been even better at home, going 4-6 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been outscoring their opponents by an average of 1.4 runs per game at home. They have been a good bet on the run line as the favorite, going 8-9 on the run line in those games.

So far this season, the Dodgers have played 17 games with an average combined run total of 10.1. Their over/under record is 11-6, and their average over/under line is 8.0. When the line has been set at 8.5, their record is 8-5. Only four of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5, and they have gone under in three of those games.

Pitching Matchup

Yu Darvish and the Padres are on the road to take on the Dodgers today. Darvish has started 4 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. He’s coming off a game where he took a no-decision against the Cubs, but he did give up 4 runs in just 3 innings of work.

James Paxton is getting the start for the Dodgers today as they take on the Padres. He has been solid in his first two starts, picking up wins in both. In his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 runs on 3 hits, but he did give up a home run.

Padres vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

For the Padres, we have Xander Bogaerts with the highest total hits projection on the team, which is 16th best in the league today. Manny Machado has the 3rd highest total hits projection on the team, but he does have the highest home run projection on the team and 11th best in the league today. Kyle Higashioka has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 13th best in the league today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has the top home run projection on the team and 11th best in the league today.

For the Dodgers, we have Shohei Ohtani projected to have the best offensive performance. His total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 21st in the league today. He also has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and 5th best in the league. Freddie Freeman has the highest total hits projection on the team and 16th best in the league. Mookie Betts has the 3rd highest total hits projection on the team and his odds to hit a home run are 9th best in the league.

Free Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Dodgers game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Dodgers winning this game 5-4, but with the payout for a Dodgers win sitting at -162, we are going to go with the over, with the payout being -124.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Yu Darvish with eight. However, we do have Paxton finishing with a higher ERA than Darvish.

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