Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Free Picks for April 29th

by | Last updated Apr 29, 2024 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Monday, April 29th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: SNLA
Money Line: Dodgers -147/Diamondbacks +122
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Dodgers on Monday, April 29th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAD -147 -1.5 O 10 (-113)
ARI +122 +1.5 U 10 (-107)

At 9:40 from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Los Angeles comes in with a record of 18-12, while the Diamondbacks are currently 13-16. Tommy Henry is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against James Paxton for the Dodgers.

Los Angeles is the road favorite, with money line odds of -147, and the over/under line is at 10 runs. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by SNLA.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Mookie Betts 1 2B
Shohei Ohtani 2 DH
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Will Smith 4 C
Teoscar Hernández 5 RF
Max Muncy 6 3B
Enrique Hernández 7 CF
Miguel Rojas 8 SS
Chris Taylor 9 LF
James Paxton SP


Player Batting Order Position
Ketel Marte 1 2B
Corbin Carroll 2 CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Eugenio Suárez 5 3B
Randal Grichuk 6 RF
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Blaze Alexander 8 DH
Kevin Newman 9 SS
Tommy Henry SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 18-12 SU / OU 18-12 / Runline 14-16
Arizona Diamondbacks: 13-16 SU / OU 12-16 / Runline 14-15

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 3-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. Things started off well for the Dodgers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored three times in the bottom of the second.

Michael Grove got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Freddie Freeman went 1/3 with a homer and a run scored, but the Dodgers only had three other hits as a team.

Los Angeles is 18-12 overall this year, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Giants. The Dodgers are coming off dropping the final game of their series vs. the Blue Jays. This season, they have a division record of 5-3.

At home, the Dodgers are 9-8 this year, and they have gone 9-4 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 12-5. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 18-11 and 0-1 as the underdog this year. The team’s overall series record is 6-5, and they have won two straight series.

When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. Their average run margin in losses is -2.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 14-16, and they are 8-5 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +1.3 runs per game.

Despite the Dodgers’ combined run average of 9.3, their games have gone under the over/under line in 18 of 30 games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 10 runs, and the under has hit in two straight games. The Dodgers’ games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs this season, and only 2 of their games have had lines set at 10 runs.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Arizona was the +115 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was a big game for Brandon Pfaadt, as he picked up the win and tossed six innings of two-run ball, giving up just five hits and striking out 11. The Diamondbacks’s offense was carried by Christian Walker, who went 2/4 with a homer and scored a run.

Joe Mantiply got the start for the Diamondbacks, going three innings, and picked up the win. Arizona’s bullpen was excellent, as Kevin Ginkel closed things out in the 9th, and the Diamondbacks’s offense scored the go-ahead run in the 8th to pick up the win.

Arizona is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 13-16, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 7-4 in division games this year. Arizona closed out their series with the Mariners with a win and are 3-5-1 in series this year.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 7-6 this year compared to 6-10 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 15 of their games, going 8-7 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 5-9 this year.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 14-15 overall. They’ve been even better at home, going 7-6 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.0, but that number jumps to +1.8 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-6 on the run line in those games.

The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-16. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, but their over/under record when the line is set at 10 runs is 1-0. In 24 of their games, the line has been set at under 10 runs, and in the four games with a line set at over 10 runs, the over/under record is 1-0. Their under streak is currently at four games.

Pitching Matchup

James Paxton and the Dodgers are on the road in Arizona today. Paxton has been solid to start the season, picking up a win in his first start and then a no-decision in his last two outings. He has 10 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched this season.

Tommy Henry is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Dodgers. He comes into this game with a win in his last outing, where he went 6 innings and struck out 6. He has given up just 1 earned run in each of his first 3 starts of the season.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

Los Angeles comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, the Dodgers are batting .274 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They also have the league’s best on-base percentage and are near the top of the league in slugging and OPS.

Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani have been two of the league’s top hitters so far this season. Betts is batting .387, and Ohtani is right behind him at .336. Betts has also gone 15/35 in his last nine games, while Ohtani has three homers in that stretch. Andy Pages has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/36 in his last nine games.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 8th-best team batting average in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks, going 11/34 in his last nine games, including two homers. This has pushed his season average to .271, and he is 2nd on the team with 18 RBIs. Blaze Alexander comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .322.

Free Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick

With the Diamondbacks at +122 to pick up a win at home, this is a great value pick for today’s Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Tommy Henry, he is projected to go just five innings but end up with more strikeouts than Paxton, finishing with seven.

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