Giants vs. Dodgers Best Bet 9/5/22

by | Sep 5, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Monday September 5th, 10:10 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: NBCS BA

Money Line: Giants +165 / Dodgers -200 (BAS - Bet on NFL/CFB games at -105 instead of -110! Imagine how much money this would save you!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Logan Webb (11-8, 3.22)
Los Angeles: Andrew Heaney (2-1, 2.12)

Giants Projected Lineup

Brandon Crawford SS
Austin Wynns C
Mike Yastrzemski CF
Thairo Estrada 2B
Evan Longoria 3B
Lewis Brinson CF
J.D. Davis 3B
Austin Slater LF
Wilmer Flores 1B
Logan Webb P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Joey Gallo LF
Chris Taylor SS
Max Muncy 2B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Cody Bellinger CF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Andrew Heaney P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 64-68-0 SU / OU 65-60-7 / Run Line W/L 60-72-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 92-41-0 SU / OU 56-66-11 / Run Line W/L 82-51-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants on Monday September 5th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, San Francisco will be looking to tack on another win after taking down Philadelphia by the score of 5-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Philadelphia to 3 runs on 9 hits. The Giants lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 8 hits, leading to 5 runs. Heading into their last game, San Francisco was the betting favorite at -112.0. Through 96 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 56%. Together, the Giants and Philadelphia combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. San Francisco now has an over-under record of 65-60-7.

In the Giants last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +13. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.48 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 6.0. San Francisco’s overall series record is just 18-18-7.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Padres by 5 runs (9-4). For the game, the pitching staff held the Padres to 4 runs on 8 hits. In the victory, the Dodgers came up with 9 hits and 9 runs. In the game, Los Angeles was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -160.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 129 games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Dodgers and Padres combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. So far, Los Angeles has an over-under record of just 56-66-11.

In their last 5 contests, the Dodgers have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Even though Los Angeles has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+7). In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (5.2) similar to their season-long average of 5.38. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 30-10-2.

Pitching Matchup

Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants, with an overall record of 11-8. Currently, Webb has an ERA of just 3.22 while pitching an average of 6.11 innings per outing. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.241 off the right-hander. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Webb, as he is allowing just 0.55 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Logan Webb has a strong strikeout percentage of 20.0%, including a per game average of 5.07. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.51 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Los Angeles turns to starter Andrew Heaney. For the year, he has a record of 2-1. In his previous outings, Heaney has lasted an average of 4.62 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.12. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.209 against the right-hander. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Heaney is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.36 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Andrew Heaney has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 35.0%. This has led to an average of 7.0 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.31 walks per contest.

San Francisco vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 14th meeting of the season. Currently, Los Angeles is winning the season series 10-3. The over-under record in this series sits at 5-6. The average run total in these games is 7.75 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.46 runs. When looking back to last season, San Francisco and Los Angeles split the season series, with each team picking up 12. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-12, with the average run total being 7.75 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.08 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a win.
  • Dodgers are 43-12 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 66-19 in their last 85 home games.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Monday’s NL West matchup between San Francisco and Los Angeles, the over-under line is set at 8.5 runs. With Logan Webb and Andrew Heaney on the mound, I recommend taking the under. Both pitchers come into this game, throwing the ball well. Look for both offensive units to struggle throughout the game.

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