Giants vs. Dodgers Predictions 7/21/22

by | Jul 21, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thurday, July 21st, 10:09 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: ESPN

Money Line: Giants +130 / Dodgers -155 (Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your deposit of only $25!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Carlos Rodón (8-5, 2.66)
Los Angeles: Mitch White (1-2, 4.2)

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada SS
David Villar 3B
Yermin Mercedes LF
Mike Yastrzemski RF
Evan Longoria 3B
Joey Bart C
Darin Ruf 1B
Austin Slater CF
Wilmer Flores 2B
Carlos Rodón P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Max Muncy 3B
Cody Bellinger CF
Justin Turner 3B
Jake Lamb LF
Mookie Betts RF
Gavin Lux SS
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Mitch White P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 48-43-0 SU / OU 44-42-5 / Run Line W/L 45-46-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 60-30-0 SU / OU 35-47-8 / Run Line W/L 53-37-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants on Thursday, July 21st, at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:09 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The San Francisco Giants will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Brewers by a score of 9-5. For the game, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 5 runs on 9 hits. The Giants lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 9 runs. In the matchup, San Francisco was favored at -160.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 71 of their games, winning at a rate of 56.1%. Together, the Giants and Brewers combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. San Francisco has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (44-42-5).

The Giants are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +8. In their last 5 contests, San Francisco is averaging 5.0 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.80. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 30 series played, going 14-11-5.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a big win over the Angels by a score of 7-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Angels to 1 run on 7 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 7 hits. Los Angeles picked up the win while being favored at -225.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 88 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. With this result, the Dodgers and Angels combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 35-47-8.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +18. Compared to their season average, the Dodgers come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.6 runs per game. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 20-8-1.

Pitching Matchup

The San Francisco Giants will send Carlos Rodón to the mound with an overall record of 8-5. In his previous outings, Rodón has lasted an average of 5.83 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.66. So far, batters are hitting just 0.214 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Rodón, as he is giving up just 0.34 HR/9. Per game, Carlos Rodón is averaging 7.28, on a strikeout percentage of 31.0%. Command has been a problem for Rodón, as he is giving up 3.0 walks per outing.

Los Angeles will roll with Mitch White (1-2) as their starter. So far, White has put together an ERA of 4.2. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 3.46 innings. White comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.237. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against White. This year, he is allowing 1.2 HRs per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, White has a strikeout percentage of just 22.0% and a per game average of 3.23. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.4 walks per contest.

San Francisco vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers will be playing their 6th game of the season. So far, San Francisco is leading the season series, 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 7.75 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.6 runs. When looking back to last season, San Francisco and Los Angeles split the season series, with each team picking up 12. In these 24 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-12. Last year, the Giants and Dodgers averaged 7.75 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.08 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Thursday night’s NL West matchup between San Francisco and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the favorite to come away with the win. However, I see the Giants pulling off the road upset as they continue the momentum they built up before the All-Start Break. Look for Carlos Rodon to kick off the 2nd half of the season with another quality start. I like San Francisco on the moneyline.

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