Giants vs. Marlins Odds & Moneyline Pick

by | Jun 2, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, June 2nd, 06:40 ET

Location: LoanDepot park

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Money Line: Giants +117 / Marlins -140 (MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 for a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Alex Wood (3-4, 4.81)
Miami: Sandy Alcantara (5-2, 2.0)

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada LF
Luis Gonzalez P
Evan Longoria 3B
Brandon Crawford SS
Joey Bart C
Wilmer Flores 1B
Joc Pederson LF
Tommy La Stella 3B
Mike Yastrzemski CF
Alex Wood P

Marlins Projected Lineup

Brian Anderson 3B
Miguel Rojas SS
Avisaíl García RF
Garrett Cooper 1B
Jacob Stallings C
Jesús Aguilar 1B
Jorge Soler LF
Jon Berti 3B
Jasrado Chisholm Jr. 2B
Sandy Alcantara P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 27-22-0 SU / OU 28-20-1 / Run Line W/L 23-26-0
Miami Marlins: 20-28-0 SU / OU 24-23-1 / Run Line W/L 25-23-0

The Miami Marlins host the San Francisco Giants on Thursday, June 2nd at LoanDepot park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Miami as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1-run loss to the Phillies (6-5), the Giants will look to get back in the win column. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Giants staff allowed 10 hits. On offense, the Giants’ 5 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as San Francisco was the betting underdog, getting 105.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 7.5 runs, the Giants and Phillies combined to go over this total. So far, San Francisco has an above .500 over-under record of 28-20-1.

The Giants come into this game with a 3-2 record in their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +4. San Francisco’s offense heads into action averaging 5.0 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 5.08. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 17 series played, going 9-6-2.

In their last game, the Marlins suffered a 1 run loss to the Rockies by a score of 13-12. Miami’s pitching staff gave up 3 hits, leading to 13 runs for the Rockies. Offensively, they finished with 12 runs on 21 hits. Leading into the game, Miami was the betting favorite at -105.0. So far, the team has won 50.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Marlins and Rockies combined to surpass the line of 10.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 24-23-1.

The Marlins come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Even though Miami has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+6). Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.8 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 4.38. Miami has a below .500 series record of just 5-11-0.

Pitching Matchup

The San Francisco Giants will send Alex Wood to the mound with an overall record of 3-4. To date, Wood has an ERA of 4.81 while lasting an average of 4.78 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.289. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Wood, as he is allowing just 1.05 per 9 innings. Wood has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 24.0% and a per-game average of 5.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.72 walks per contest.

Sandy Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, with an overall record of 5-2. Currently, Alcantara has a strong ERA of just 2.0 while pitching an average of 6.72 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.197 against him. Not only does Alcantara have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.54 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Sandy Alcantara is averaging 6.3, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. Command has been a problem for Alcantara, as he is giving up 2.93 walks per outing.

San Francisco vs Miami History

For the season, the San Francisco Giants and Miami Marlins will be playing their 3rd game of the season. San Francisco has the lead in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 6.29 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.0 runs. Going back to last year, San Francisco won the season series, 4 games to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-4-1, with the average run total being 6.29 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s matchup between San Francisco and Miami, the Marlins are the favorite to pick up the win. However, I see this as an opportunity to get some good odds on the Giants. Look for Alex Wood to get back on track, as he is facing a Marlins team that will be playing its 3rd game in 2 days, and dealing with a grueling travel schedule. I like San Francisco on the moneyline.

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