Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Trends, Free Pick

by | Last updated Aug 13, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Saturday August 13th, 03:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes
Money Line: Guardians 105 / Blue Jays -125
Total Line: 8.0


Cleveland: Triston McKenzie (8-8, 3.16)
Toronto: Mitch White (1-3, 3,86)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Nolan Jones 3B
Austin Hedges C
Andrés Giménez 2B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Josh Naylor 1B
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Triston McKenzie P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Whit Merrifield CF
Santiago Espinal 2B
Bo Bichette SS
Teoscar Hernández RF
Matt Chapman 3B
Danny Jansen C
Alejandro Kirk C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Mitch White P


Cleveland Guardians: 60-52-0 SU / OU 53-52-7 / Run Line W/L 59-53-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 60-51-0 SU / OU 58-52-1 / Run Line W/L 48-63-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday, August 13th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In Cleveland’s last game vs the Blue Jays, the Guardians came away with an 8-0 win. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Blue Jays to 0 runs on 3 hits. The Guardians lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 14 hits, leading to 8 runs. Cleveland picked up the win, despite getting 135.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Guardians and Blue Jays stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. However, for the season, Cleveland still has an overall over-under record of 53-52-7.

Over the Guardians’ last 5 games, they have not lost a contest, going 5-0. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +14. Overall, Cleveland is averaging 4.36 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.36. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 36 series played, going 17-11-8.

Toronto will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Guardians by the score of 8-0. Toronto’s pitching staff gave up 14 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Guardians. The Blue Jays’ offense ended the game with just 0 runs on 3 hits. Toronto dropped the game despite being favored at -160.0. So far, the team has won 56.9% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Blue Jays and Guardians’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Even still, Toronto games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 58-52-1.

The Blue Jays come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -15 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.0 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 17-13-6.

Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will send Triston McKenzie to the mound with an overall record of 8-8. In his previous outings, McKenzie has lasted an average of 6.1 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.16. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.197. Home runs have been a concern for McKenzie as he is allowing 1.27 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Triston McKenzie has a strong strikeout percentage of 24.0%, including a per game average of 5.76. Command has been a problem for McKenzie, as he is giving up 2.32 walks per outing.

Mitch White gets the start for Toronto, with his 1-3 record on a 3.86 ERA. Throughout the season, White has performed better at home, giving up just 10 runs across 31 innings. In his last outing vs Minnesota, he gave up 3 runs in just under 5 innings of action taking the loss.

Cleveland vs Toronto History

Today’s matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays will be their 6th meeting of the season. Cleveland has the lead in the series at 4-1. Through 5 games, the series over-under record is 3-2, with the average run total sitting at 8.86 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.2 runs. Toronto won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 5 wins to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 8.86 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.71 runs per game.

Betting Trends

Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 7 games

Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s American League showdown between Cleveland and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the slight favorite on the moneyline. This comes despite the Guardians having rattled off 6 straight wins. Look for Cleveland’s streak to continue, as Toronto starter Mitch White has been nothing special for the Blue Jays.

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