Guardians vs Yankees Game 5 odds & Predictions

by | Last updated Oct 17, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees
Date: Monday October 17th, 07:07 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
Money Line: Guardians +130 / Yankees -155
Total Line: 7.5


Cleveland: Zach Plesac (3-12, 4.24)
New York: Aaron Civale (5-6, 4.92)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Will Brennan CF
Austin Hedges C
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Andrés Giménez 2B
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Josh Naylor 1B
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Zach Plesac P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Harrison Bader CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Giancarlo Stanton LF
Aaron Judge RF
Gleyber Torres 2B
Josh Donaldson 3B
Jose Trevino C
Oswaldo Cabrera LF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Jameson Taillon P


Cleveland Guardians: 92-70-0 SU / OU 77-82-9 / Run Line W/L 89-79-0
New York Yankees: 99-63-0 SU / OU 78-83-5 / Run Line W/L 74-92-0

The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians on Monday October 17th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

Cleveland heads into today’s action looking to rebound from a 4-2 loss to the NY Yankees. Cleveland’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 6 hits, leading to 4 runs. Offensively, they finished with just 2 runs on 6 hits. The loss came as Cleveland was the betting underdog, getting 145.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 6.5 runs. With this result, Cleveland’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 77-82-9.

The Guardians come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -1. Cleveland comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 2.8 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.25. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 53 series played, going 27-15-11.

New York is coming off a 2-run win over the Guardians (4-2). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 6 hits. The Yankees offense ended the game with just 4 runs on 6 hits. In the game, New York was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -160.0. So far, the team has won 63.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Yankees and Guardians’ run total fell below the over-under line of 6.5 runs. Now, New York had an over-under record of 78-83-5.

The Yankees come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of 0 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.4 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 30-16-8.

Pitching Matchup

Zach Plesac gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 3-12. So far, Plesac has put together an ERA of 4.24. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.25 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.258. Opponents are hitting for power against Plesac, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.3. In terms of strikeouts, Zach Plesac has a strong strikeout percentage of 18.0%, including a per-game average of 4.0. Command has been a problem for Plesac, as he is giving up 2.6 walks per outing.

New York will roll with Aaron Civale (5-6) as their starter. To date, Civale has an ERA of 4.92 while lasting an average of 4.85 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.249. Home runs have been an issue for Civale, as he is allowing an average of 1.3 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, Aaron Civale has struck out 24.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 4.9 K’s per game. Civale comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.04 free passes per outing.

Cleveland vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees will be their 11th meeting of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 7-3. Through 10 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-5, with the average run total sitting at 9.14 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.6 runs.

Betting Trends

Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees Prediction

In game 5 of this ALDS matchup, the Yankees are the favorite on the moneyline to advance and meet the Astros. Even though Aaron Civale has had a decent year for the Guardians, I expect the New York lineup to breakthough with enough runs to come out on top. I recommend taking the Yankees on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees Moneyline

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