Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Prediction 9/29/23

by | Last updated Sep 29, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Friday, September 29th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
Money Line: Astros +112/Diamondbacks -135
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Astros on Friday, September 29th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU +112 +1.5 O 9 (-103)
ARI -135 -1.5 U 9 (-118)

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Yordan Alvarez 3 DH
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
José Abreu 6 1B
Michael Brantley 7 LF
Chas McCormick 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
J.P. France SP

Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Tommy Pham 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Alek Thomas 5 CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 6 DH
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Jace Peterson 8 3B
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Zac Gallen SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 87-72 SU / OU 84-71 / Runline 79-80
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-75 SU / OU 71-81 / Runline 87-72

For the season, the Astros have put together a record of 87-72, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL West standings, they are 2nd, trailing by two games. This year, they have gone 39-42 at home and 48-30 on the road with an overall series mark of 26-20-4.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Astros have been favored in 73.0% of their games and have runline records of 33-48 and 46-32 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 159 games at 84-71.

With an overall record of 84-75, the Diamondbacks are in 2nd place in the NL West, trailing by 14 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 41-40 while going 43-35 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 28-20-4.

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 54.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.0
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 45.9% of their games and have runline records of 43-35 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 71-81.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
J.P. France 24 23 136 11-6 3.83 1.36 19

For the season, J.P. France has an ERA of 3.83 across 24 outings. Heading into the game, his overall record stands at 11-6. Against the Diamondbacks, he will look to extend his streak of not giving up a home-run to three games. So far, opponents have a SLG% of .407 against him and a batting average of .259.

J.P. France took the loss after allowing three runs on seven hits in his previous outing against the Royals. In the game, the Astros fell 3-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zac Gallen 33 33 203 17-8 3.49 1.11 22

Arizona will be counting on another good start from Zac Gallen, as he has picked up a win in two straight games. Gallen comes in with an ERA of 3.49 and a record of 17-8. For the season, he has racked up 213 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .233. Opponents have a slugging percentage of .377 vs. Gallen.

Arizona is hoping that Zac Gallen can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Yankees (7-1) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on three hits across six innings.

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

With 220 home runs hit so far this season (6th), the Astros are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5.1 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .259. The team’s slugging percentage is .404 at home and .445 on the road.

Houston Astros Top Hitters On The Road

Kyle Tucker .313 19 .574 .408
Alex Bregman .268 13 .455 .358
Jeremy Peña .285 5 .398 .319
Mauricio Dubón .292 8 .464 .335
José Abreu .241 11 .401 .295

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yordan Alvarez .333 5 5 3 1.021
Kyle Tucker .300 4 3 1 .683
Jose Altuve .412 8 1 0 .463
Mauricio Dubón .175 3 2 1 .325
José Abreu .246 4 2 0 .454

This season, Arizona is ranked 12th in the league in runs scored at 4.7 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 166 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .252 is 9th in the league. On the road, they are 18th in batting average compared to 7th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters vs. Righties

Corbin Carroll .283 20 .541 .384
Christian Walker .265 20 .484 .348
Ketel Marte .262 20 .488 .359
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .252 20 .481 .329
Geraldo Perdomo .254 6 .386 .336

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Walker .253 5 5 2 .573
Corbin Carroll .350 8 7 0 .540
Geraldo Perdomo .133 2 5 0 .267
Tommy Pham .200 3 2 0 .200
Ketel Marte .125 2 3 1 .312

Free MLB Pick

With Zac Gallen and J.P France on the mound, runs are going to be at a premium. Right now, the over/under is sitting at 9 and I see that number potentially coming down as the day goes on. I’d recommend taking the under for this matchup.

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