Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Game 4 Best Bet
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Wednesday, October 11th, 7:07 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Hou +106/Min -126 (Get a 100% bonus up to $300 with code PREDICTEM at BetUS!)
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Astros on Wednesday, October 11th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
HOU | +106 | +1.5 | O 8 (-113) |
MIN | -126 | -1.5 | U 8 (-108) |
Astros vs. Twins Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Jose Altuve | 1 | 2B |
Alex Bregman | 2 | 3B |
Yordan Alvarez | 3 | DH |
Kyle Tucker | 4 | RF |
José Abreu | 5 | 1B |
Chas McCormick | 6 | CF |
Michael Brantley | 7 | LF |
Jeremy Peña | 8 | SS |
Martín Maldonado | 9 | C |
José Urquidy | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Edouard Julien | 1 | 2B |
Jorge Polanco | 2 | 3B |
Royce Lewis | 3 | DH |
Max Kepler | 4 | RF |
Alex Kirilloff | 5 | 1B |
Carlos Correa | 6 | SS |
Ryan Jeffers | 7 | C |
Matt Wallner | 8 | LF |
Michael A. Taylor | 9 | CF |
Joe Ryan | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Houston Astros: 90-72 SU / OU 87-73 / Runline 83-82
Minnesota Twins: 87-75 SU / OU 84-76 / Runline 85-82
On a record of 90-72, the Astros are tied for first place in the AL West. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 51-30 while going 39-42 at home. Houston’s overall series record is 28-19-5.
- The Astros have covered the runline in 50.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
- The Astros have been favored in 72.7% of their games and have runline records of 34-49 and 49-33 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 162 games at 87-73.
The Twins head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 87-75. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Minnesota is 47-34 and 40-41 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-6.
- The Twins have covered the runline in 50.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
- The Twins have been favored in 68.9% of their games and have runline records of 40-44 and 45-38 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 52% of the Twins’ 162 games at 84-76.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
José Urquidy | 16 | 10 | 63 | 3-3 | 5.29 | 1.43 | 11 |
José Urquidy has taken the mound 16 times this season and has a record of 3-3. Urquidy is on a two game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .434 and he has struckout a total of 45 batters. So far, his WHIP sits at 1.43.
A quality start and a win were added to José Urquidy’s record in his previous outing against the Diamondbacks. The Astros went on to win by a score of 2-1. Urquidy allowed zero runs and two hits during six innings.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Ryan | 29 | 29 | 161 | 11-10 | 4.51 | 1.17 | 32 |
Joe Ryan heads into the game with an overall record of 11-10 and an ERA of 4.51. In his 15 appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.12 and record of 4-6. At home, he has put together a mark of 7-4 and ERA of 4.20. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.17, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .246. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .449.
Looking back at Ryan’s last appearance, he allowed eight hits across five innings of work. Overall, he finished with six earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Twins won by a score of 7-6 over the Rockies.
Astros vs. Twins Offense Outlook
The Astros have played 165 games so far and have an average of 5.1 runs per game, putting them 5th in the league. Houston has hit 222 home runs, ranking them 6th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .259, while hitting .259 on the road and .245 at home.
Houston Astros Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 165 | 5.1 (5th) | 222 (6th) | .259 (4th) | .331 (4th) | .331 (4th) |
Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez | .506 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1.756 |
José Abreu | .244 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .644 |
Alex Bregman | .244 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .444 |
Jose Altuve | .317 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .567 |
Kyle Tucker | .194 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .278 |
The Twins have played 167 games and are ranked 10th in the league with 4.8 runs per game. Minnesota ranks 3rd in home runs, having gone deep 233 times. Their average is .243, including .232 on the road and .241 at home.
Minnesota Twins Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Kepler | .260 | .332 | .484 | 66 | 24 | 1 |
Carlos Correa | .230 | .312 | .399 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Willi Castro | .257 | .339 | .411 | 34 | 9 | 33 |
Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Correa | .542 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .729 |
Jorge Polanco | .267 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .417 |
Royce Lewis | .113 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .263 |
Edouard Julien | .375 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .438 |
Max Kepler | .271 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .417 |
Free MLB Pick
The Astros come into this matchup looking to close out their series vs. the Twins. Houston carries a lot of momentum into the game after a 9-1 win. Look for the Astros to jump all over Joe Ryan early and punch their ticket to the ALCS. I like Houston on the moneyline.
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