Jays at Red Sox Free Pick 5/1/23

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Monday, May 1st, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Blue Jays -151/Red Sox +128
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Blue Jays on Monday, May 1st at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1B
Matt Chapman	4	3B
Daulton Varsho	5	RF
Alejandro Kirk	6	C
Whit Merrifield	7	2B
Danny Jansen	8	C
Kevin Kiermaier	9	CF
José Berríos	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Alex Verdugo	1	LF
Rafael Devers	2	3B
Justin Turner	3	3B
Masataka Yoshida	4	LF
Enrique Hernández	5	CF
Triston Casas	6	1B
Jarren Duran	7	CF
Reese McGuire	8	C
Christian Arroyo	9	2B
Corey Kluber	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 18-10 SU / OU 10-16 / Runline 15-13
Boston Red Sox: 15-14 SU / OU 19-10 / Runline 15-14

The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 18-10. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 9-7 and 9-3, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 6-2.

• The Blue Jays have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 67.9% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 9-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 10-16.

On a record of 15-14, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 6-7 while going 9-7 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 5-3.

• The Red Sox have covered the runline in 51.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Red Sox have been favored in 48.3% of their games and have runline records of 7-9 and 8-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 66% of the Red Sox’s 29 games at 19-10.

Pitching Matchup

 

The Blue Jays will turn to starter José Berríos who has an overall record of 2-3. After five appearances, his ERA is 4.71 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 2.37 and an OBP of .278.

José Berríos earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 7-0 win over the White Sox. He allowed zero runs and four hits across seven innings.

 

The Red Sox will turn to starter Corey Kluber who has an overall record of 1-4. Through five appearances his ERA stands at 6.75 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.76 to go along with an OBP of .321.

A quality start and a win were added to Corey Kluber’s record in his previous outing against the Orioles. The Red Sox went on to win by a score of 8-6. Kluber allowed one run and five hits during six innings.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 28 games so far and have an average of 4.7 runs per game, putting them 12th in the league. Toronto has hit 31 home runs, ranking them 18th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .258, while hitting .248 on the road and .259 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters On The Road

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

After 29 games played, the Red Sox are 3rd in the league with an average of 5.6 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 8th, on a total of 37 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .233 on the road and .268 at home, is .257.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

 

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

While there could be some debate over which team boasts superior batting, it’s clear that the Blue Jays have a stronger starting pitcher in this matchup. Toronto’s starter, Jose Berrios, had a rocky beginning to the season, with a difficult debut against Kansas City (5 2/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER) and a less-than-stellar follow-up against LAA (4 IP, 6R, 4 ER). However, he has since made a remarkable comeback, limiting the Rays to just one earned run over five innings, and then delivering back-to-back quality starts against Houston and Chicago White Sox (14 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 9 SO, and 2 W). Last season, Berrios faced the Red Sox three times, with the Jays emerging victorious in all three encounters and Berrios earning a quality start in each game.

On the other hand, the Red Sox starter, Corey Kluber, has had a mixed season so far, with a couple of adequate starts, even securing his first quality start in his latest outing against Baltimore (6 IP, 1 ER). However, his inconsistency is evident in his 6.75 ERA. Kluber’s historical performance against the Blue Jays (last 4 starts: 23 IP, 19 H, 12 ER) and the current roster’s lifetime stats against him (.364 BA, 1.117 OPS) also favor Toronto.

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