Jays vs. Yankees Total Pick For 9/21/23

by | Last updated Sep 21, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Thursday, September 21st, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
Money Line: Blue Jays +116/Yankees -138
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Blue Jays on Thursday, September 21st at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR +116 +1.5 O 7.5 (-101)
NYY -138 -1.5 U 7.5 (-120)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 RF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 DH
Davis Schneider 4 2B
Spencer Horwitz 5 1B
Matt Chapman 6 3B
Daulton Varsho 7 LF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
José Berríos SP

Batting Order Position
DJ LeMahieu 1 1B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Gleyber Torres 3 2B
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
Austin Wells 5 C
Anthony Volpe 6 SS
Oswald Peraza 7 3B
Oswaldo Cabrera 8 LF
Estevan Florial 9 CF
Gerrit Cole SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 85-67 SU / OU 64-81 / Runline 69-83
New York Yankees: 76-76 SU / OU 67-75 / Runline 73-79

On a record of 85-67, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 10 games out of the division lead. Against the Yankees, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 44-33 while going 41-34 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 27-18-2.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 75.7% of their games and have runline records of 31-44 and 38-39 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 64-81.

Heading into their game vs. the Blue Jays, the Yankees have a record of 76-76 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 21-20-7. At home, they have gone 39-38 and 37-38 on the road.

  • The Yankees have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
  • The Yankees have been favored in 61.8% of their games and have runline records of 32-45 and 41-34 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 67-75.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
José Berríos 30 30 178 11-10 3.49 1.18 23

Toronto will be counting on another good start from José Berríos, as he has picked up a win in two straight games. Berríos comes in with an ERA of 3.49 and a record of 11-10. For the season, he has racked up 168 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .234. Opponents have a slugging percentage of .385 vs. Berríos.

In his last outing, José Berríos finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 3-0 victory over the Red Sox. Berríos gave up zero runs and five hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Gerrit Cole 31 31 192 13-4 2.81 1.05 20

Gerrit Cole has taken the mound 31 times this season and has a record of 13-4. Cole is on a three game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .331 and he has struckout a total of 208 batters. So far, his WHIP sits at 1.05.

Looking back at Cole’s last appearance, he allowed six hits across five innings of work. Overall, he finished with two earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Yankees won by a score of 7-5 over the Pirates.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

With and average of 4.6 runs per game, Toronto is 14th in the league so far this year. They have hit 175 home runs which is currently 17th in baseball. Their current batting average of .257 is ranked 6th in the league, while they have a .257 batting average on the road and .244 batting average at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .264 .342 .440 90 24 5
George Springer .259 .331 .406 65 20 19
Whit Merrifield .280 .324 .392 64 11 26

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bo Bichette .275 5 3 1 .462
George Springer .287 5 4 1 .475
Cavan Biggio .475 5 4 0 .475
Daulton Varsho .271 3 2 1 .771
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .229 3 2 1 .479

So far this season, the Yankees are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 209 home runs (8th). Overall, New York is averaging 4.2 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .225. At home, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .371 compared to .402 at home.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Righties

Gleyber Torres .274 17 .445 .340
DJ LeMahieu .243 11 .398 .312
Anthony Volpe .202 16 .367 .280
Aaron Judge .254 24 .554 .398
Anthony Rizzo .223 11 .370 .301

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Austin Wells .237 4 2 1 .600
Gleyber Torres .333 5 1 0 .458
Anthony Volpe .113 2 1 1 .300
Aaron Judge .125 2 2 0 .125
DJ LeMahieu .208 3 1 0 .271

Free MLB Pick

Take the Under 7.5

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