Mariners vs. Astros Betting Analysis & Free Pick

by | Jun 8, 2022 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday June 8th, 06:40 ET

Location: Minute Maid Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Mariners +122 / Astros -145 (Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your first deposit of only 25 bucks!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Seattle: Logan Gilbert (5-2, 2.35)
Houston: Jose Urquidy (5-2, 4.76)

Mariners Projected Lineup

Abraham Toro 2B
Taylor Trammell RF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Adam Frazier RF
Cal Raleigh C
Julio Rodriguez CF
J.P. Crawford SS
Jesse Winker LF
Ty France 1B
Logan Gilbert P

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick CF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Jose Urquidy P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Seattle Mariners: 25-31-0 SU / OU 29-26-1 / Run Line W/L 28-28-0
Houston Astros: 36-20-0 SU / OU 16-40-0 / Run Line W/L 28-28-0

The Houston Astros host the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, June 8th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Mariners come into this matchup having suffered a 3 run loss to the Astros (4-1). Seattle’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 7 hits, leading to 4 runs. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 6 hits. The loss came as Seattle was the betting underdog, getting 220.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. Even after this game, Seattle’s overall over-under record sits at 29-26-1.

In the Mariners’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +1. Overall, Seattle is averaging 4.11 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.11. Seattle’s overall series record is just 7-9-2.

Houston will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Mariners by 3 runs 4-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 6 hits. With their 7 hits, the Astros could only muster 4 runs. In the game, Houston was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -270.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 47 games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. Combined, the Astros and Mariners’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 16-40-0.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +4. Houston is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.0 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.13. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 10-6-2.

Pitching Matchup

Seattle will roll with Logan Gilbert (5-2) as their starter. Currently, Gilbert has an ERA of just 2.35 while pitching an average of 5.91 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.202. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.69 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Logan Gilbert is averaging 6.09 K’s per game, on a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.63 walks per outing.

The Houston Astros will send Jose Urquidy to the mound with an overall record of 5-2. So far, Urquidy has put together an ERA of 4.76. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.1 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.319. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Urquidy, averaging 1.59 homers per 9 innings pitched. Urquidy is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 17.0%. Throughout the season, Urquidy has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.41 per contest.

Seattle vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will be their 12th meeting of the season. Currently, Houston is winning the season series 6-5. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-7. The average run total in these games is 9.37 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.45 runs. Dating back to last season, the Houston picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-7-1, with the average run total being 9.37 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.79 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle’s last 11 games on the road
  • Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston’s last 12 games at home
  • Houston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s showdown between Seattle and Houston, the Astros are the favorite on the moneyline. Even though Logan Gilbert comes in with a strong WHIP of just 1.03, I expect Houston’s offense to have more success than the first time around vs Gilbert. Look for the Astros to pick up the win.

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