Mariners vs. Cubs MLB Preview & Pick | 4/13/24

by | Last updated Apr 13, 2024 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, April 13th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
Money Line: Cubs -141/Mariners +119
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Cubs on Saturday, April 13th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHC -141 -1.5 O 8 (-105)
SEA +119 +1.5 U 8 (-115)

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an interleague matchup between the Cubs and Mariners. First pitch on Saturday night is set for 9:40 PM ET. Chicago comes in with a record of 7-6, while the Mariners are currently 6-8.

Shota Imanaga is starting for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Emerson Hancock for the Mariners. Looking at the money line odds, the Cubs are at -141 compared to the Mariners at +119. The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Cubs vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Ian Happ 1 DH
Seiya Suzuki 2 RF
Cody Bellinger 3 CF
Christopher Morel 4 3B
Dansby Swanson 5 SS
Michael Busch 6 1B
Nico Hoerner 7 2B
Mike Tauchman 8 LF
Yan Gomes 9 C
Shota Imanaga SP

Player Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Jorge Polanco 3 2B
Mitch Haniger 4 RF
Mitch Garver 5 DH
Ty France 6 1B
Cal Raleigh 7 C
Dylan Moore 8 LF
Luis Urías 9 3B
Emerson Hancock SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 7-6 SU / OU 8-5 / Runline 8-5
Seattle Mariners: 6-8 SU / OU 5-7 / Runline 5-9

Seattle picked up a 4-2 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Cubs, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -129 on the money line.

Bryce Miller got the win for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Jordan Wicks only went four innings for the Cubs, giving up four earned runs on five hits.

Ty France and Julio Rodriguez each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mariners’ offense. France did not hit a home run, but Rodriguez did. As for the Cubs, Michael Busch went 2/4 with a homer.

Cubs Records & Recent Play

After taking their series opener vs the Padres, the Cubs dropped the final game of the series and are not 7-6 as they take on the Mariners today. The Cubs are on a two-game losing streak, losing the final two games of their series. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place, the same as the Reds, both teams are 2.5 games behind the Brewers.

At home, the Cubs have been solid, putting together a 5-1 record. On the road, which is where they are today, they are just 2-5. Chicago has won three straight games as the favorite and are 3-0 overall in that role this season. As the underdog, their record is 4-6 so far.

The Cubs have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 8-5 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 4-2 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.7 runs per game. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 6-4 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.7 runs per game.

The Chicago Cubs have an over/under record of 8-5 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 10.8 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 8 runs. So far this season, the Cubs have played in 6 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 0-3. They have played in 4 games with over/under lines set lower than 8 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 3-1.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 6-8, the Mariners are on a two-game winning streak as they take on the Cubs today. In the AL West, they are in 4th place, which is where they also are in terms of their series record, as they have gone 0-3-1 so far.

Looking at their overall series, the Mariners have been the favorite seven times, going 3-4 in those games. As the underdog, which they are today, Seattle also has a 3-4 record.

Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 5-9. They have been slightly better on the road, going 3-3 against the run line, compared to 2-6 at home. As the favorite, they have a run line record of 1-6, while as the underdog they are 4-3. Their average run differential this season is -1.4 runs per game.

Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 5-7, and their average over/under line is 8.0. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 is 1-3-1. 14.3% of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 8, and 50.0% of their games have had a line set lower. Their over/under record for the last 10 games is 2-7-1, and their combined run average is 7.9 runs per game.

Pitching Matchup

Shota Imanaga is on the mound for the Cubs today, as they take on the Mariners. Imanaga has been dominant in his first two starts, picking up a win in his first outing and then striking out 9 in just 4 innings in his last start. He has yet to allow an earned run this season.

Emerson Hancock is set to start for the Mariners at home against the Cubs. In his first outing of the season, he picked up a win vs. the Guardians, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out 4. However, his last start was a rough one, as he took the loss vs. the Brewers, giving up 8 runs in 3 1/3 innings.

Cubs vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

For the Cubs, we like Seiya Suzuki to have a strong game at the plate. He has the highest total hits projection on the team, and his home run projection is 6th best in the league today. Cody Bellinger is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 10th in the league today.

When looking at the Mariners’ offensive projections, Julio Rodríguez is not only expected to have the most hits on the team, but his hits projection is 17th best in the league today. His home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit a home run, which is the best odds on the team and 7th best in the league today. J.P. Crawford’s total hits projection is 2nd best on the team, and his home run projection is 11th in the league today.

Free Cubs vs. Mariners MLB Pick

Our predicted final score for this Cubs and Mariners matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Cubs. And with the Cubs at -141 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Emerson Hancock finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Shota Imanaga with six. Offensively, we have the Cubs finishing with eight hits compared to the Mariners with eight. If you’re looking for a home run today, the Mariners are projected to have a better shot at finishing with more home runs.

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