Mariners vs. Rangers Odds & Free Pick

by | Last updated Jul 16, 2022 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
Date: Saturday, July 16th, 04:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: Bally Sports Southwest
Money Line: Mariners -140 / Rangers +117
Total Line: 8.5


Seattle: Logan Gilbert (10-3, 2.89)
Texas: Spencer Howard (1-1, 8.04)

Mariners Projected Lineup

Cal Raleigh C
Adam Frazier 2B
Jesse Winker LF
Dylan Moore SS
Eugenio Suárez 3B
J.P. Crawford SS
Carlos Santana 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Logan Gilbert P

Rangers Projected Lineup

Kole Calhoun LF
Brad Miller 3B
Nate Lowe 1B
Adolis Garcia RF
Jonah Heim C
Josh H. Smith 3B
Leody Taveras CF
Corey Seager SS
Marcus Semien 2B
Spencer Howard P


Seattle Mariners: 49-42-0 SU / OU 44-45-2 / Run Line W/L 48-43-0
Texas Rangers: 41-47-0 SU / OU 42-40-6 / Run Line W/L 51-37-0

The Texas Rangers host the Seattle Mariners on Saturday, July 16th at Globe Life Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Seattle Mariners are coming off a 5 run win over the Rangers by a score of 8-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 6 hits. The Mariners benefited from an offense that generated 8 runs on 10 hits. Heading into their last game, Seattle was the betting favorite at -155.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 45 of their games, winning at a rate of 62.0%. With the over-under line set at 7.5 runs, the Mariners and Rangers combined to go over this total. Even with this game going over the total, Seattle still has an over-under record of just 44-45-2.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have gone a perfect 5-0. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +10. Offensively, the team has put up 28 runs in their last 5 games. Seattle’s season average comes in at 4.13 (24th. So far, Seattle has won over half of their 29 series played, going 16-12-1.

Texas is coming off a 5-run loss to the Mariners. Dropping the game 8-3. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 10 hits, leading to 8 runs. At the plate, the Rangers only came through for 3 runs on 6 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Texas came into the game as the underdog, getting 140.0. In their 49 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 49.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Rangers and Mariners combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 42-40-6.

In their last 5 contests, the Rangers have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -8. Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.0 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 4.57. Texas has a below .500 series record of just 11-15-3.

Pitching Matchup

Seattle will roll with Logan Gilbert (10-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Gilbert has lasted an average of 5.89 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.89. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.236. This season, Gilbert has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 1.02 per 9 innings. Per game, Logan Gilbert is averaging 5.56, on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Gilbert is averaging 2.46 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Texas turns to starter Spencer Howard. For the year, he has a record of 1-1. Howard gets the start with an ERA of 8.04. On average, he has lasted 3.04 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.324. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Howard, averaging 4.14 homers per 9 innings pitched. Howard is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. Throughout the season, Howard has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.3 per contest.

Seattle vs Texas History

Today’s matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers will be their 9th meeting of the season. Seattle has the lead in the series at 6-2. Through 8 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-3, with the average run total sitting at 8.11 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.12 runs. Going back to last year, Seattle won the season series, 13 games to 6. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-10. Last year, the Mariners and Rangers averaged 8.11 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.21 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our Milwaukee at San Francisco free pick 7/16/22

Betting Trends

  • Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas’s last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas’s last 8 games

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s American League showdown between Seattle and Texas, the Mariners have the edge on the moneyline, as they are going for their 13th win in a row. Even though Logan Gilbert is coming off a rough outing vs Toronto, he has pitched well vs Texas this year. Leading into the game, he already has 2 outings vs the Rangers, going 12 2/3 innings while giving up just 2 runs.

Free MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline. Note: Foots is coming fast! Be sure to bookmark our NFL predictions page and check back weekly for game previews and predictions for every single game of the 2022-23 season!

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