Marlins vs. Mets Runline Bet 6/20/22

by | Jun 20, 2022 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Date: Monday, June 20th, 01:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Money Line: Marlins +129 / Mets -154 (Get better lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Miami: Trevor Rogers (3-5, 5.87)
New York: David Peterson (3-1, 3.6)

Marlins Projected Lineup

Willians Astudillo 1B
Bryan De La Cruz CF
Avisaíl García RF
Miguel Rojas SS
Jon Berti 3B
Jacob Stallings C
Jorge Soler LF
Garrett Cooper 1B
Jasrado Chisholm Jr. 2B
Trevor Rogers P

Mets Projected Lineup

J.D. Davis 3B
Jeff McNeil 2B
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Starling Marte RF
Mark Canha LF
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
David Peterson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Miami Marlins: 29-35-0 SU / OU 33-30-1 / Run Line W/L 35-29-0
New York Mets: 44-24-0 SU / OU 36-28-4 / Run Line W/L 39-29-0

The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins on Monday, June 20th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-154), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Miami Marlins will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Mets by a score of 6-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Mets to 2 runs on 6 hits. The Marlins lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. Miami picked up the win, despite getting 125.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 6.5 runs, the Marlins and Mets combined to go over this total. Miami has had more than half of its games go over the over-under line (33-30-1).

In their last 5 games, the Marlins are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -3. In their last 5 contests, Miami is averaging 4.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.50. Miami’s overall series record is just 7-13-1.

New York is coming off a 4 run loss to the Marlins. Dropping the game 6-2. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. The Mets offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. New York came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-140.0). So far, the team has won 69.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Mets and Marlins went over the run total line set at 6.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 36-28-4.

Across their last 5 contests, the Mets are above .500, going 3-2. New York has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at -4. New York is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.03. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 16-3-2.

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Pitching Matchup

Miami will roll with Trevor Rogers (3-5) as their starter. So far, Rogers has put together an ERA of 5.87. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.43 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.279. Opponents are hitting for power against Rogers, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.52. Rogers has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 19.0% and a per-game average of 3.83. Command has been a problem for Rogers, as he is giving up 4.7 walks per outing.

New York will roll with David Peterson (3-1) as their starter. To date, Peterson has an ERA of 3.60 while lasting an average of 4.44 innings per appearance. Peterson’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.228. So far, Peterson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.67 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Peterson has a strikeout percentage of just 20.0% and a per game average of 3.89. Command has been a problem for Peterson, as he is giving up 4.5 walks per outing.

Miami vs New York History

For the season, the Miami Marlins and New York Mets will be playing their 4th game of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-1. The average run total in these games is 7.05 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.67 runs. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 7.05 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.32 runs per contest.

More Picks: Find out why the total is the best bet in today’s DET/BOS 6/20/22 game >>>

Betting Trends

  • Miami is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games when playing NY Mets
  • Miami is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • NY Mets is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
  • NY Mets is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Marlins at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Monday afternoon’s matchup between Miami and New York, look for the Mets to pick up the win and cover the runline. I expect New York to have a big day at the plate, as Trevor Rodgers’ WHIP sits at 1.64. On the other side, look for a bounceback outing from David Peterson, as he took the loss in his last game vs Milwaukee.

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