Mets vs. Braves Moneyline Bet 8/15/22

by | Aug 15, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday August 15th, 07:20 ET

Location: Truist Park

TV: Bally Sports South

Money Line: Mets +133 / Braves -147 (GTBets - Offers Predictem readers a 125% real cash bonus up to $400! See our review page for details!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Carlos Carrasco (13-4, 3.69)
Atlanta: Spencer Strider (6-4, 3.31)

Mets Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin LF
Luis Guillorme 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Carlos Carrasco P

Braves Projected Lineup

Marcell Ozuna LF
Michael Harris II CF
William Contreras C
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Eddie Rosario LF
Austin Riley 3B
Vaughn Grissom 2B
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Spencer Strider P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 75-40-0 SU / OU 57-49-9 / Run Line W/L 64-51-0
Atlanta Braves: 70-46-0 SU / OU 58-51-7 / Run Line W/L 60-56-0

The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on Monday, August 15th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-147), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In New York’s last game vs the Phillies, the Mets came away with a 6-0 win. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 9 hits. The Mets benefited from an offense that generated 6 runs on 10 hits. Heading into their last game, New York was the betting favorite at -130.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 91 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.0 runs. New York games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 57-49-9.

The Mets come into this game with a 4-1 record over their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +18. In their last 5 contests, New York is averaging 4.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.80. So far, New York has won over half of their 36 series played, going 27-6-3.

In their last game, Atlanta took down the Marlins by a score of 3-1. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Marlins to 1 run and 5 hits. With their 10 hits, the Braves could only muster 3 runs. In the game, Atlanta was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -125.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Braves and Marlins’ run total fell below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Atlanta still has an above .500 over-under record at (58-51-7).

The Braves come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +14 (last 5). Atlanta has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.80. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 18-12-6.

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Pitching Matchup

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, with an overall record of 13-4. To date, Carrasco has an ERA of 3.69 while lasting an average of 5.64 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.264. This season, Carrasco has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.94 per 9 innings. Per game, Carlos Carrasco is averaging 5.59, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Carrasco is averaging 2.32 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Spencer Strider. For the year, he has a record of 6-4. Heading into the game, Strider has appeared in 24 contests, posting an ERA of just 3.31. On average, he pitches 3.72 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.185 against him. Not only does Strider have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.5 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Overall, Spencer Strider has struck out 38.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.75 K’s per game. Strider comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.41 free passes per outing.

New York vs Atlanta History

For the season, the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will be playing their 13th game of the season. So far, New York is leading the season series, 8-4. The over-under record in this series sits at 8-3. The average run total in these games is 7.68 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.25 runs. Atlanta won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 10 wins to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 7-11, with the average run total being 7.68 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.47 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing NY Mets

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Monday’s National League East showdown between New York and Atlanta, the Braves are the favorite on the moneyline and an over-under line set at 8 runs. In what should be a tightly contested, low-scoring game, I see the Mets coming away with the win, as they have shown the ability to hit off Spencer Strider, chasing him from his last start in just 2 2/3 innings.

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