Mets vs. Giants Betting Preview & Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Apr 21, 2023 | mlb

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Friday, April 21st, 10:15 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: NSPB
Money Line: Mets -108/Giants -110 (Baseball betting odds are cheaper at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Mets on Friday, April 21st at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-108 -1.5 O 9 (-105)
-110 +1.5 U 9 (-116)

Mets vs. Giants Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Starling Marte 2 CF
Francisco Lindor 3 SS
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Jeff McNeil 5 2B
Daniel Vogelbach 6 1B
Mark Canha 7 LF
Brett Baty 8 3B
Tomás Nido 9 C
Joey Lucchesi SP

 

Batting Order Position
Thairo Estrada 1 2B
Wilmer Flores 2 3B
Michael Conforto 3 LF
J.D. Davis 4 3B
David Villar 5 3B
Mike Yastrzemski 6 CF
Brandon Crawford 7 SS
Heliot Ramos 8 CF
Joey Bart 9 C
Anthony DeSclafani SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 13-7 SU / OU 9-11 / Runline 12-8
San Francisco Giants: 6-12 SU / OU 10-7 / Runline 7-11

On a record of 13-7, the Mets are 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Giants, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-5 while going 4-2 at home. New York’s overall series record is 5-1.

 

  • The Mets have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.8.
  • The Mets have been favored in 75.0% of their games and have runline records of 4-2 and 8-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 9-11.

Heading into today’s action, the Giants’ record of 6-12 has them sitting 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 4-7 and 2-5, respectively. San Francisco’s overall series record sits at 1-5.

 

  • The Giants have covered the runline in 38.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Giants have been favored in 27.8% of their games and have runline records of 2-5 and 5-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 59% of the Giants’ 18 games at 10-7.

Pitching Matchup

Joey Lucchesi will be looking to get his season off to a strong start, as he hasn’t taken the mound since 2001.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Anthony DeSclafani 3 3 19 1-0 1.42 .63 1

 

Starter Anthony DeSclafani comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Giants. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 1.42 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.34 and an OBP of .176.

Despite throwing 6 2/3 innings and allowing only three runs in his last appearance, Anthony DeSclafani did not factor in the decision. In the game, the Giants still lost to the Tigers by a score of 7-6.

Mets vs. Giants Offense Outlook

With 20 games under their belt, the Mets are ranked 8th in the league at4.8 runs per game. New York has gone deep 23 times, ranking them 9th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .234, .228 on the road, and .229 at home.

New York Mets Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Brandon Nimmo .333 1 .472 .425
Pete Alonso .244 4 .511 .366
Jeff McNeil .250 0 .350 .320
Francisco Lindor .175 1 .350 .305
Daniel Vogelbach .250 1 .417 .392

 

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Pete Alonso .320 7 4 2 .620
Brandon Nimmo .490 12 3 1 .690
Jeff McNeil .453 8 3 1 .733
Francisco Lindor .200 4 5 1 .450
Mark Canha .257 4 2 0 .397

 

This season, the Giants are one of the top power hitting lineups in the league, with 30 home runs (3rd). This has led to an average of 4.6 runs per game and a collective batting average of .238. At home, their slugging percentage is .370, compared to .418 on the road.

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Wilmer Flores .417 1 .583 .447
Thairo Estrada .240 1 .400 .292
Mike Yastrzemski .190 1 .333 .225
J.D. Davis .222 0 .222 .214
Joey Bart .222 0 .222 .253

 

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Mike Yastrzemski .297 6 3 2 .617
J.D. Davis .340 7 1 1 .540
Thairo Estrada .223 5 4 0 .257
Blake Sabol .100 2 2 2 .400
LaMonte Wade Jr. .050 1 2 1 .200

 

Free MLB Pick

The New York Mets are thoroughly enjoying their stay in California as they’re mowing down their opponents. Overall, they’ve gone 7-1 in their last eight games. On the other hand, the San Francisco Giants are 1-6 in their last seven contests. They’ll face Joey Lucchesi, who will be making his first start in the bigs since 2001. The 29-year old lefty has looked good in AAA this season. The key here is that the Giants don’t hit lefties well. In fact, they’re the second worst in the league with a .211 average vs. southpaws. The Giants regular lineup is loaded with left handed bats which bodes well for Lucchesi. San Francisco either loses (benched) or will have to deal with lefty on lefty matchups with Wade, Conforto, Yastrzemski, Crawforfd and Sabol, which is most of their good hitting. Add in that SF starter Anthony DeSclafani is pitching well and that the game is being played at the spacious Oracle Park and we have a nice bunch of variables to support an UNDER 9 play. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this weekend by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

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