Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Total Pick

by | Last updated Aug 28, 2023 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
Date: Monday, August 28th, 8:05 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MARQ
Money Line: Brewers +106/Cubs -126 (Odds cost less at BetAnySports! It matters!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Brewers on Monday, August 28th at Wrigley Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIL +106 +1.5 O 9 (100)
CHC -126 -1.5 U 9 (-122)

Brewers vs. Cubs Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Sal Frelick 4 CF
Willy Adames 5 SS
Rowdy Tellez 6 DH
Andruw Monasterio 7 3B
Brice Turang 8 2B
Tyrone Taylor 9 RF
Wade Miley SP

 

Batting Order Position
Christopher Morel 1 DH
Nico Hoerner 2 2B
Ian Happ 3 LF
Cody Bellinger 4 CF
Dansby Swanson 5 SS
Yan Gomes 6 C
Seiya Suzuki 7 RF
Jeimer Candelario 8 3B
Patrick Wisdom 9 1B
Jameson Taillon SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 73-57 SU / OU 59-67 / Runline 60-70
Chicago Cubs: 69-61 SU / OU 68-56 / Runline 68-62

The Brewers take on the Cubs in the middle of a eight game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 73-57. So far, they are 35-30 on the road and 38-27 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 21-17-2.

 

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 46.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Brewers have been favored in 52.3% of their games and have runline records of 26-39 and 34-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 59-67.

On a record of 69-61, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Against the Brewers, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 34-31 while going 35-30 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 22-13-5.

 

  • The Cubs have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Cubs have been favored in 52.3% of their games and have runline records of 33-32 and 35-30 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Cubs’ 130 games at 68-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Wade Miley 17 17 87 6-3 3.18 1.18 11

 

The Brewers will turn to starter Wade Miley who has an overall record of 6-3. After 17 appearances, his ERA is 3.18 and he has a K/9 figure of 6.06. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.55 and an OBP of .288.

Looking back at Miley’s last appearance, he allowed five hits across five innings of work. Overall, he finished with three earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Brewers won by a score of 7-3 over the Twins.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jameson Taillon 23 23 115 7-8 5.60 1.35 19

 

In today’s game, Chicago starter Jameson Taillon will look to do a better job keeping the ball in the ballpark as he has given up a home-run in five straight appearances. Overall, he has put together a record of 7-8 and ERA of 5.60. In total, he has racked up 100 strikeouts and has a K/9 figure of 7.78. In terms of walks, he has issued an average of 2.57 per 9 innings.

Jameson Taillon is coming off an outing against the Tigers in which he gave up four runs and four hits across 5 2/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Cubs won by a score of 6-4.

Brewers vs. Cubs Offense Outlook

With 130 games under their belt, the Brewers are ranked 16th in the league at 4.4 runs per game. Milwaukee has gone deep 136 times, ranking them 19th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .235, .226 on the road, and .236 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Brewers 130 4.4 (16th) 136 (19th) .235 (19th) .316 (14th) .316 (14th)

 

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
William Contreras .354 5 5 2 .916
Willy Adames .287 5 4 1 .438
Carlos Santana .416 6 4 0 .584
Andruw Monasterio .300 4 3 0 .300
Rowdy Tellez .500 3 1 1 1.083

 

Offensively, the Cubs, come into the game ranked 5th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. In the home run category, Chicago is ranked 13th, with 156 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .254. This mark includes hitting .240 on the road and .255 at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Cody Bellinger .333 7 .569 .409
Nico Hoerner .288 1 .410 .319
Jeimer Candelario .254 3 .405 .332
Yan Gomes .290 5 .523 .351
Seiya Suzuki .270 2 .409 .316

 

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Seiya Suzuki .420 8 5 0 .780
Cody Bellinger .300 7 4 0 .380
Ian Happ .300 6 5 1 .550
Nico Hoerner .312 6 5 0 .412
Jeimer Candelario .147 3 2 1 .333

 

Free MLB Pick

The Brewers Wade Miley has pitched well this season, but he has only one start against the Cubs this season, and it wasn’t awful, but one of his weaker starts of the season, going five frames and allowing four runs. His back numbers against the roster are nothing to write home about, allowing a .282 average in 71 at-bats. Jameson Taillon has shown flashes of his old self, but he’s on a downward spiral right now just isn’t having a good season. Like Miley, his back numbers against today’s opponent are mediocre, and his one start against Mil this season was not great, pitching four innings allowing three runs on seven hits. The Brewers are hot, and so our their bats. Take the over 9 +100.

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