Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Total Pick 9/24/23

by | Sep 24, 2023 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, September 24th, 1:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Brewers -126/Marlins +106
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Brewers on Sunday, September 24th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIL -126 -1.5 O 7 (-119)
MIA +106 +1.5 U 7 (-102)

Brewers vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Mark Canha 4 RF
Willy Adames 5 SS
Sal Frelick 6 CF
Rowdy Tellez 7 DH
Brice Turang 8 2B
Andruw Monasterio 9 3B
Freddy Peralta SP


Batting Order Position
Luis Arraez 1 2B
Jorge Soler 2 DH
Josh Bell 3 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 4 CF
Jake Burger 5 3B
Bryan De La Cruz 6 LF
Jesús Sánchez 7 RF
Garrett Hampson 8 SS
Jacob Stallings 9 C
Edward Cabrera SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 88-67 SU / OU 71-80 / Runline 77-78
Miami Marlins: 80-75 SU / OU 73-79 / Runline 71-84

The Brewers head into today’s game in first place in the NL Central on a record of 88-67. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 4-1. At home, Milwaukee is 45-30 and 43-37 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-2.

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Brewers have been favored in 54.2% of their games and have runline records of 33-42 and 44-36 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 71-80.

With an overall record of 80-75, the Marlins are in 3rd place in the NL East, trailing by 19.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Marlins have a mark of 35-40 while going 45-35 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 24-24-2.

  • The Marlins have covered the runline in 45.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.4
  • The Marlins have been favored in 45.8% of their games and have runline records of 34-46 and 37-38 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 73-79.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Freddy Peralta 29 29 162 12-9 3.71 1.08 24


As he prepares to take on the Marlins, Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta has recorded a quality start in each of his last two outings. Overall, he has made 29 trips to the mound and has a recorded of 12-9 and ERA of 3.71. For the season, opponents have batting average of .201 against him, including an OPS of .638. Peralta’s strikeout total currently sits at 206 while issuing 54 this year.

Peralta will look to build on his previous start, as he tossed six innings and allowed one earned run on four hits. However, the Brewers fell by a score of 1-0 to the Cardinals.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Edward Cabrera 20 18 91 6-7 4.35 1.41 11


Edward Cabrera has an overall record of 6-7, and will get the start for the Marlins. With 20 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 4.35, while his K/9 figure is 10.88. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.53 and an OBP of .323.

During Edward Cabrera’s last game, he pitched for 5 1/3 innings. The Marlins went on to lose to the Mets by a score of 2-1. Cabrera earned a no-decision, allowing one run on four hits.

Brewers vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

The Brewers have played 155 games and have an average of 4.6 runs per game, which puts them 16th in the league. Milwaukee has hit 162 home runs (23rd). Their batting average comes in at .240, while hitting .230 on the road and .241 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Christian Yelich .294 16 .494 .378
William Contreras .257 7 .380 .317
Carlos Santana .227 17 .416 .312
Willy Adames .213 20 .411 .306
Mark Canha .267 5 .381 .329


Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
William Contreras .347 7 5 1 .587
Christian Yelich .575 5 5 2 1.550
Josh Donaldson .246 4 3 2 .717
Blake Perkins .317 5 5 1 .667
Tyrone Taylor .208 3 4 2 .667


With 157 games under their belt, the Marlins are ranked 25th in the league at 4.1 runs per game. Miami has gone deep 160 times, ranking them 24th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .258, .232 on the road, and .266 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Jorge Soler .245 .336 .515 73 36 1
Luis Arraez .353 .392 .468 69 10 3
Jake Burger .248 .311 .529 79 34 1


Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jon Berti .562 6 2 1 1.021
Josh Bell .354 5 3 1 .667
Jake Burger .208 3 2 1 .458
Bryan De La Cruz .417 6 2 0 .500
Jorge Soler .438 5 1 0 .562


Free MLB Pick

Take the Under 7.5 -112

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