Milwaukee Brewers vs. Texas Rangers Total Pick 8/19/23

by | Last updated Aug 19, 2023 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Saturday, August 19th, 4:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: FS1
Money Line: Brewers +120/Rangers -144 (Odds cost less at B-A-S!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Brewers on Saturday, August 19th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIL +120 +1.5 O 8.5 (-102)
TEX -144 -1.5 U 8.5 (-120)

Brewers vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Sal Frelick 4 CF
Willy Adames 5 SS
Mark Canha 6 DH
Andruw Monasterio 7 3B
Brice Turang 8 2B
Tyrone Taylor 9 RF
Freddy Peralta SP

 

Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Adolis García 4 RF
Jonah Heim 5 C
Travis Jankowski 6 LF
Mitch Garver 7 DH
Josh H. Smith 8 3B
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Dane Dunning SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 66-57 SU / OU 54-65 / Runline 55-68
Texas Rangers: 72-50 SU / OU 60-56 / Runline 72-50

The Brewers head into today’s game in first place in the NL Central on a record of 66-57. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 6-4. At home, Milwaukee is 33-27 and 33-30 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 20-17-2.

 

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
  • The Brewers have been favored in 52.8% of their games and have runline records of 23-37 and 32-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 54-65.

Against the Brewers, the Rangers are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 72-50 is stil good for 1st in the AL West. At home, Texas has gone 42-22 and 30-28 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 24-13-2.

 

  • The Rangers have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.6.
  • The Rangers have been favored in 67.2% of their games and have runline records of 40-24 and 32-26 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Rangers’ 122 games at 60-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Freddy Peralta 23 23 128 9-8 4.08 1.19 19


Entering with a record of 9-8, Freddy Peralta is making his 24th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.08 on a batting average allowed of .215. On the road, he is 4-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 5-4 at home on an ERA of 4.52. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .390 against him.

Milwaukee is hoping that Freddy Peralta can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the White Sox (7-3) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Dane Dunning 26 18 127 9-4 3.10 1.14 12


Texas starter Dane Dunning enters with an overall record of 9-4 and ERA of 3.10. His ERA on the road is 3.03 and 3.54 when pitching at home. Dunning’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.14 with a batting average allowed of .234. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .357 against him.

Dane Dunning delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching seven innings and allowing one run. Despite his efforts, the Rangers fell to the Giants by a score of 3-2.

Brewers vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

At 4.3 runs per game, Milwaukee is ranked 18th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 128 times so far. The team’s batting average of .233 places them 20th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 23rd compared to 26th at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Christian Yelich .307 13 .506 .389
William Contreras .249 4 .361 .302
Carlos Santana .216 12 .390 .295
Willy Adames .204 14 .379 .284
Brice Turang .228 6 .356 .288


Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Carlos Santana .125 2 2 2 .500
William Contreras .233 4 2 0 .367
Mark Canha .150 2 2 1 .467
Christian Yelich .292 4 4 0 .375
Sal Frelick .125 1 0 0 .125


After 122 games played, the Rangers are 2nd in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 5th, on a total of 171 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .254 on the road and .274 at home, is .271.

Texas Rangers Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Rangers 122 5.7 (2nd) 171 (5th) .271 (2nd) .341 (2nd) .341 (2nd)


Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corey Seager .275 5 5 2 .700
Marcus Semien .225 4 2 1 .562
Mitch Garver .458 5 3 1 .875
Adolis García .146 2 2 1 .396
Nathaniel Lowe .213 4 2 1 .450


Free MLB Pick

Both starters have good historical numbers versus today’s opponent’s roster and current form suggest that run production may be an issue today. Brew Crew starter Freddy Peralta’s season ERA of 4.08 doesn’t impress anyone, but his stats show an uptick with a 3.63 July and 1.89 ERA in August. Take the Under 8.

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